Recent diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran center on Pakistan-mediated talks in Islamabad, where a conditional ceasefire took effect in April 2026 following earlier indirect sessions in Oman and Geneva. Iranian negotiators, including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, have advanced proposals to reopen the Strait of Hormuz in one track while deferring broader nuclear and sanctions issues, prompting the Trump administration to review the framework with national security advisers. Internal divisions within Tehran, including reported input from IRGC elements, have contributed to stalled face-to-face scheduling and canceled U.S. envoy travel. U.N. Secretary-General António Guterres and Pakistani officials continue back-channel coordination for potential follow-on discussions, which could involve telephone formats or additional rounds if both sides address blockade and navigation concerns. These developments shape trader assessments of attendance at any imminent meeting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$1,179,417 KL.
Donald Trump
4%
Marco Rubio
9%
J.D. Vance
32%
Jared Kushner
51%
Steve Witkoff
47%
$1,179,417 KL.
Donald Trump
4%
Marco Rubio
9%
J.D. Vance
32%
Jared Kushner
51%
Steve Witkoff
47%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran center on Pakistan-mediated talks in Islamabad, where a conditional ceasefire took effect in April 2026 following earlier indirect sessions in Oman and Geneva. Iranian negotiators, including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, have advanced proposals to reopen the Strait of Hormuz in one track while deferring broader nuclear and sanctions issues, prompting the Trump administration to review the framework with national security advisers. Internal divisions within Tehran, including reported input from IRGC elements, have contributed to stalled face-to-face scheduling and canceled U.S. envoy travel. U.N. Secretary-General António Guterres and Pakistani officials continue back-channel coordination for potential follow-on discussions, which could involve telephone formats or additional rounds if both sides address blockade and navigation concerns. These developments shape trader assessments of attendance at any imminent meeting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp