Iran’s constitution establishes four-year presidential terms, with the most recent election in 2024 installing Masoud Pezeshkian and the next scheduled contest set for 2028. An unscheduled vote would require the president’s death, resignation, or incapacity, or an extraordinary directive from the Supreme Leader and Guardian Council—none of which have materialized. The February 2026 assassination of Ali Khamenei and March selection of Mojtaba Khamenei as the new Supreme Leader prompted rapid continuity through the Assembly of Experts but produced no parallel acceleration of presidential balloting. As of mid-August 2026, official statements and state media continue to reference the standard timeline amid ongoing regional tensions and domestic pressures, leaving trader consensus to price an early election by year-end at very low levels.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill Iran hold a presidential election by...?
$767,367 KL.
December 31
6%
$767,367 KL.
December 31
6%
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s constitution establishes four-year presidential terms, with the most recent election in 2024 installing Masoud Pezeshkian and the next scheduled contest set for 2028. An unscheduled vote would require the president’s death, resignation, or incapacity, or an extraordinary directive from the Supreme Leader and Guardian Council—none of which have materialized. The February 2026 assassination of Ali Khamenei and March selection of Mojtaba Khamenei as the new Supreme Leader prompted rapid continuity through the Assembly of Experts but produced no parallel acceleration of presidential balloting. As of mid-August 2026, official statements and state media continue to reference the standard timeline amid ongoing regional tensions and domestic pressures, leaving trader consensus to price an early election by year-end at very low levels.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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