Heightened regional tensions with Iran and Hezbollah-linked threats have kept the security environment around the U.S. Embassy in Beirut under close scrutiny, prompting an earlier ordered departure of non-essential personnel and families in February 2026 as a precautionary measure. The embassy has remained operational with core staff since, supported by a Level 4 travel advisory and periodic security alerts citing risks of escalation, airspace disruptions, and potential targeting of U.S. interests. Recent developments include a September 2026 security alert emphasizing vigilance amid Middle East frictions and the delay of U.S.-mediated Israel-Lebanon talks until October, which could influence diplomatic postures and proxy dynamics. Trader assessments reflect these ongoing military buildups, negotiation timelines, and the potential for rapid shifts from diplomatic or military developments within any specified resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
$119,425 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
7%
$119,425 KL.
December 31
$25,323 KL.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Heightened regional tensions with Iran and Hezbollah-linked threats have kept the security environment around the U.S. Embassy in Beirut under close scrutiny, prompting an earlier ordered departure of non-essential personnel and families in February 2026 as a precautionary measure. The embassy has remained operational with core staff since, supported by a Level 4 travel advisory and periodic security alerts citing risks of escalation, airspace disruptions, and potential targeting of U.S. interests. Recent developments include a September 2026 security alert emphasizing vigilance amid Middle East frictions and the delay of U.S.-mediated Israel-Lebanon talks until October, which could influence diplomatic postures and proxy dynamics. Trader assessments reflect these ongoing military buildups, negotiation timelines, and the potential for rapid shifts from diplomatic or military developments within any specified resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Thị trường mở: Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Khối lượng
$119,425Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Heightened regional tensions with Iran and Hezbollah-linked threats have kept the security environment around the U.S. Embassy in Beirut under close scrutiny, prompting an earlier ordered departure of non-essential personnel and families in February 2026 as a precautionary measure. The embassy has remained operational with core staff since, supported by a Level 4 travel advisory and periodic security alerts citing risks of escalation, airspace disruptions, and potential targeting of U.S. interests. Recent developments include a September 2026 security alert emphasizing vigilance amid Middle East frictions and the delay of U.S.-mediated Israel-Lebanon talks until October, which could influence diplomatic postures and proxy dynamics. Trader assessments reflect these ongoing military buildups, negotiation timelines, and the potential for rapid shifts from diplomatic or military developments within any specified resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Khối lượng
$119,425Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Heightened regional tensions with Iran and Hezbollah-linked threats have kept the security environment around the U.S. Embassy in Beirut under close scrutiny, prompting an earlier ordered departure of non-essential personnel and families in February 2026 as a precautionary measure. The embassy has remained operational with core staff since, supported by a Level 4 travel advisory and periodic security alerts citing risks of escalation, airspace disruptions, and potential targeting of U.S. interests. Recent developments include a September 2026 security alert emphasizing vigilance amid Middle East frictions and the delay of U.S.-mediated Israel-Lebanon talks until October, which could influence diplomatic postures and proxy dynamics. Trader assessments reflect these ongoing military buildups, negotiation timelines, and the potential for rapid shifts from diplomatic or military developments within any specified resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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