Trader consensus heavily favors no declaration of independence by the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) from Iraq by December 31, reflecting deepened Baghdad-Erbil cooperation amid regional instability. Recent agreements on budget shares, oil revenues, and hydrocarbon law implementation—finalized swiftly after Iraq's April 2026 parliamentary selection of Kurdish president Nizar Amedi—signal political integration rather than separation. A prior Polymarket up to April 30 resolved "No" without incident, underscoring stalled momentum since the 2017 referendum's backlash, when Iraq retook Kirkuk and international opposition mounted from Turkey and Iran. Ongoing political deadlock resolution and oil export resumption via the Iraq-Turkey pipeline further prioritize federal stability over secession, though escalation in the 2026 Kurdish-Iranian crisis or major territorial disputes could shift dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
$52,539 KL.
$52,539 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$52,539 KL.
$52,539 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no declaration of independence by the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) from Iraq by December 31, reflecting deepened Baghdad-Erbil cooperation amid regional instability. Recent agreements on budget shares, oil revenues, and hydrocarbon law implementation—finalized swiftly after Iraq's April 2026 parliamentary selection of Kurdish president Nizar Amedi—signal political integration rather than separation. A prior Polymarket up to April 30 resolved "No" without incident, underscoring stalled momentum since the 2017 referendum's backlash, when Iraq retook Kirkuk and international opposition mounted from Turkey and Iran. Ongoing political deadlock resolution and oil export resumption via the Iraq-Turkey pipeline further prioritize federal stability over secession, though escalation in the 2026 Kurdish-Iranian crisis or major territorial disputes could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Khối lượng
$52,539Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no declaration of independence by the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) from Iraq by December 31, reflecting deepened Baghdad-Erbil cooperation amid regional instability. Recent agreements on budget shares, oil revenues, and hydrocarbon law implementation—finalized swiftly after Iraq's April 2026 parliamentary selection of Kurdish president Nizar Amedi—signal political integration rather than separation. A prior Polymarket up to April 30 resolved "No" without incident, underscoring stalled momentum since the 2017 referendum's backlash, when Iraq retook Kirkuk and international opposition mounted from Turkey and Iran. Ongoing political deadlock resolution and oil export resumption via the Iraq-Turkey pipeline further prioritize federal stability over secession, though escalation in the 2026 Kurdish-Iranian crisis or major territorial disputes could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$52,539Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no declaration of independence by the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) from Iraq by December 31, reflecting deepened Baghdad-Erbil cooperation amid regional instability. Recent agreements on budget shares, oil revenues, and hydrocarbon law implementation—finalized swiftly after Iraq's April 2026 parliamentary selection of Kurdish president Nizar Amedi—signal political integration rather than separation. A prior Polymarket up to April 30 resolved "No" without incident, underscoring stalled momentum since the 2017 referendum's backlash, when Iraq retook Kirkuk and international opposition mounted from Turkey and Iran. Ongoing political deadlock resolution and oil export resumption via the Iraq-Turkey pipeline further prioritize federal stability over secession, though escalation in the 2026 Kurdish-Iranian crisis or major territorial disputes could shift dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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