Avengers: Doomsday commands a commanding 74% market-implied probability for the biggest 2026 opening weekend due to explosive long-lead box office tracking reported last week, signaling potential Endgame-level event status from the Russo brothers' return, Robert Downey Jr.'s villain turn, and fan-favorite X-Men and Fantastic Four crossovers. This momentum outweighs lingering superhero fatigue concerns after recent MCU disappointments, as Disney sources express confidence in surpassing $200 million domestically despite a December 18 release slot. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 17% on the strength of its July 31 date and fresh trailer buzz, while family titles like Toy Story 5 and Dune: Messiah trail far behind amid lighter tracking. Further updates from CinemaCon and guild screenings could sharpen these odds ahead of the holiday season.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtBộ phim nào có doanh thu cuối tuần mở màn cao nhất vào năm 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 17%
Toy Story 5 3.1%
Dune: Messiah 1.8%
$1,570,601 KL.
$1,570,601 KL.
Avengers: Doomsday
74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
17%
Toy Story 5
3%
Dune: Messiah
2%
The Odyssey
2%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian và Grogu
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
1%
Phim The Super Mario Galaxy
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 17%
Toy Story 5 3.1%
Dune: Messiah 1.8%
$1,570,601 KL.
$1,570,601 KL.
Avengers: Doomsday
74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
17%
Toy Story 5
3%
Dune: Messiah
2%
The Odyssey
2%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian và Grogu
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
1%
Phim The Super Mario Galaxy
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Thị trường mở: Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Avengers: Doomsday commands a commanding 74% market-implied probability for the biggest 2026 opening weekend due to explosive long-lead box office tracking reported last week, signaling potential Endgame-level event status from the Russo brothers' return, Robert Downey Jr.'s villain turn, and fan-favorite X-Men and Fantastic Four crossovers. This momentum outweighs lingering superhero fatigue concerns after recent MCU disappointments, as Disney sources express confidence in surpassing $200 million domestically despite a December 18 release slot. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 17% on the strength of its July 31 date and fresh trailer buzz, while family titles like Toy Story 5 and Dune: Messiah trail far behind amid lighter tracking. Further updates from CinemaCon and guild screenings could sharpen these odds ahead of the holiday season.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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