Julianne Moore’s standout lead role in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy *The Debut* anchors trader sentiment at 64% implied probability, fueled by its Telluride and TIFF premieres where critics hailed her gonzo, career-best turn as a tragicomic tour de force. The film’s fall festival momentum and Moore’s status as a past winner with five prior nominations have solidified her as the early frontrunner, with recent Zurich Film Festival honors adding to the narrative. Inde Navarrette’s breakout in *Obsession* sits at 15%, while Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, Virginie Efira, and others trail below 10%, reflecting limited confirmed 2026 releases and the absence of guild or critics’ circle results. As eligibility closes later this year, upcoming screenings and precursor awards could rapidly shift the field before nominations in January 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOscars 2027: Best Actress Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner
Julianne Moore 64%
Inde Navarrette 15%
Renate Reinsve 8%
Sandra Hüller 7.8%
$132,185 KL.
$132,185 KL.
Mar 14, 2027
Julianne Moore
64%
Inde Navarrette
15%
Renate Reinsve
8%
Sandra Hüller
8%
Virginie Efira
1%
Ruth Madeley
1%
Scarlett Johansson
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
1%
Léa Seydoux
<1%
Michelle Williams
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
<1%
Julianne Moore 64%
Inde Navarrette 15%
Renate Reinsve 8%
Sandra Hüller 7.8%
$132,185 KL.
$132,185 KL.
Mar 14, 2027
Julianne Moore
$88,488 KL.
64%
Inde Navarrette
$25,138 KL.
15%
Renate Reinsve
$12,599 KL.
8%
Sandra Hüller
$3,457 KL.
8%
Virginie Efira
$173 KL.
1%
Ruth Madeley
$711 KL.
1%
Scarlett Johansson
$169 KL.
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
$207 KL.
1%
Léa Seydoux
$842 KL.
<1%
Michelle Williams
$255 KL.
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
$145 KL.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s standout lead role in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy *The Debut* anchors trader sentiment at 64% implied probability, fueled by its Telluride and TIFF premieres where critics hailed her gonzo, career-best turn as a tragicomic tour de force. The film’s fall festival momentum and Moore’s status as a past winner with five prior nominations have solidified her as the early frontrunner, with recent Zurich Film Festival honors adding to the narrative. Inde Navarrette’s breakout in *Obsession* sits at 15%, while Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, Virginie Efira, and others trail below 10%, reflecting limited confirmed 2026 releases and the absence of guild or critics’ circle results. As eligibility closes later this year, upcoming screenings and precursor awards could rapidly shift the field before nominations in January 2027.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Khối lượng
$132,185Ngày kết thúc
Mar 14, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s standout lead role in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy *The Debut* anchors trader sentiment at 64% implied probability, fueled by its Telluride and TIFF premieres where critics hailed her gonzo, career-best turn as a tragicomic tour de force. The film’s fall festival momentum and Moore’s status as a past winner with five prior nominations have solidified her as the early frontrunner, with recent Zurich Film Festival honors adding to the narrative. Inde Navarrette’s breakout in *Obsession* sits at 15%, while Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, Virginie Efira, and others trail below 10%, reflecting limited confirmed 2026 releases and the absence of guild or critics’ circle results. As eligibility closes later this year, upcoming screenings and precursor awards could rapidly shift the field before nominations in January 2027.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$132,185Ngày kết thúc
Mar 14, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Julianne Moore’s standout lead role in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy *The Debut* anchors trader sentiment at 64% implied probability, fueled by its Telluride and TIFF premieres where critics hailed her gonzo, career-best turn as a tragicomic tour de force. The film’s fall festival momentum and Moore’s status as a past winner with five prior nominations have solidified her as the early frontrunner, with recent Zurich Film Festival honors adding to the narrative. Inde Navarrette’s breakout in *Obsession* sits at 15%, while Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, Virginie Efira, and others trail below 10%, reflecting limited confirmed 2026 releases and the absence of guild or critics’ circle results. As eligibility closes later this year, upcoming screenings and precursor awards could rapidly shift the field before nominations in January 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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