With no dominant frontrunner yet for the 2027 Oscars Best Actress race, traders have priced nearly every listed contender between 45% and 50.5% implied probability, reflecting the wide-open field for 2026 releases. The cycle remains in its earliest phase, with major studio campaigns, guild screenings, and critics' awards still months away, allowing buzz around performances in upcoming films to shift rapidly. Historical patterns show that early momentum often stems from strong festival debuts or box-office surprises, but late-year releases frequently overtake initial favorites once reviews and precursors accumulate. Upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres and year-end critic lists that could consolidate support among actresses like Renate Reinsve or established names such as Julianne Moore and Sandra Hüller.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOscars 2027: Best Actress Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner
Renate Reinsve 28%
Sandra Hüller 28%
Julianne Moore 27%
Virginie Efira 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Mar 14, 2027
Renate Reinsve
28%
Sandra Hüller
28%
Julianne Moore
27%
Virginie Efira
27%
Sophie Okonedo
27%
Michelle Williams
27%
Scarlett Johansson
27%
Rachel Brosnahan
26%
Ruth Madeley
26%
Léa Seydoux
26%
Renate Reinsve 28%
Sandra Hüller 28%
Julianne Moore 27%
Virginie Efira 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Mar 14, 2027
Renate Reinsve
$0 KL.
28%
Sandra Hüller
$0 KL.
28%
Julianne Moore
$0 KL.
27%
Virginie Efira
$0 KL.
27%
Sophie Okonedo
$0 KL.
27%
Michelle Williams
$0 KL.
27%
Scarlett Johansson
$0 KL.
27%
Rachel Brosnahan
$0 KL.
26%
Ruth Madeley
$0 KL.
26%
Léa Seydoux
$0 KL.
26%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With no dominant frontrunner yet for the 2027 Oscars Best Actress race, traders have priced nearly every listed contender between 45% and 50.5% implied probability, reflecting the wide-open field for 2026 releases. The cycle remains in its earliest phase, with major studio campaigns, guild screenings, and critics' awards still months away, allowing buzz around performances in upcoming films to shift rapidly. Historical patterns show that early momentum often stems from strong festival debuts or box-office surprises, but late-year releases frequently overtake initial favorites once reviews and precursors accumulate. Upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres and year-end critic lists that could consolidate support among actresses like Renate Reinsve or established names such as Julianne Moore and Sandra Hüller.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Mar 14, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With no dominant frontrunner yet for the 2027 Oscars Best Actress race, traders have priced nearly every listed contender between 45% and 50.5% implied probability, reflecting the wide-open field for 2026 releases. The cycle remains in its earliest phase, with major studio campaigns, guild screenings, and critics' awards still months away, allowing buzz around performances in upcoming films to shift rapidly. Historical patterns show that early momentum often stems from strong festival debuts or box-office surprises, but late-year releases frequently overtake initial favorites once reviews and precursors accumulate. Upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres and year-end critic lists that could consolidate support among actresses like Renate Reinsve or established names such as Julianne Moore and Sandra Hüller.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Mar 14, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With no dominant frontrunner yet for the 2027 Oscars Best Actress race, traders have priced nearly every listed contender between 45% and 50.5% implied probability, reflecting the wide-open field for 2026 releases. The cycle remains in its earliest phase, with major studio campaigns, guild screenings, and critics' awards still months away, allowing buzz around performances in upcoming films to shift rapidly. Historical patterns show that early momentum often stems from strong festival debuts or box-office surprises, but late-year releases frequently overtake initial favorites once reviews and precursors accumulate. Upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres and year-end critic lists that could consolidate support among actresses like Renate Reinsve or established names such as Julianne Moore and Sandra Hüller.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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