State Sen. Scott Wiener leads the November general election matchup in California's 11th congressional district after topping the June 2026 top-two primary with 40.7% of the vote, ahead of Supervisor Connie Chan at 29.7%. The San Francisco-based seat, vacated by retiring Rep. Nancy Pelosi, is a heavily Democratic stronghold where the general election outcome hinges on turnout among progressive and moderate Democratic voters. Wiener's advantages include stronger name recognition from his state Senate tenure, higher fundraising totals, and emphasis on housing production and recent AI safety legislation. Chan benefits from Pelosi's endorsement and support among progressive activists. Trader consensus reflects these primary results and structural factors, with Wiener favored but the race remaining open to shifts from late campaign developments or turnout patterns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-11 House Election Winner (Individual)
CA-11 House Election Winner (Individual)
$15,633 KL.
$15,633 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Scott Wiener
65%
Connie Chan
36%
$15,633 KL.
$15,633 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Scott Wiener
$4,024 KL.
65%
Connie Chan
$11,609 KL.
36%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).State Sen. Scott Wiener leads the November general election matchup in California's 11th congressional district after topping the June 2026 top-two primary with 40.7% of the vote, ahead of Supervisor Connie Chan at 29.7%. The San Francisco-based seat, vacated by retiring Rep. Nancy Pelosi, is a heavily Democratic stronghold where the general election outcome hinges on turnout among progressive and moderate Democratic voters. Wiener's advantages include stronger name recognition from his state Senate tenure, higher fundraising totals, and emphasis on housing production and recent AI safety legislation. Chan benefits from Pelosi's endorsement and support among progressive activists. Trader consensus reflects these primary results and structural factors, with Wiener favored but the race remaining open to shifts from late campaign developments or turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ET
Khối lượng
$15,633Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).State Sen. Scott Wiener leads the November general election matchup in California's 11th congressional district after topping the June 2026 top-two primary with 40.7% of the vote, ahead of Supervisor Connie Chan at 29.7%. The San Francisco-based seat, vacated by retiring Rep. Nancy Pelosi, is a heavily Democratic stronghold where the general election outcome hinges on turnout among progressive and moderate Democratic voters. Wiener's advantages include stronger name recognition from his state Senate tenure, higher fundraising totals, and emphasis on housing production and recent AI safety legislation. Chan benefits from Pelosi's endorsement and support among progressive activists. Trader consensus reflects these primary results and structural factors, with Wiener favored but the race remaining open to shifts from late campaign developments or turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$15,633Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...State Sen. Scott Wiener leads the November general election matchup in California's 11th congressional district after topping the June 2026 top-two primary with 40.7% of the vote, ahead of Supervisor Connie Chan at 29.7%. The San Francisco-based seat, vacated by retiring Rep. Nancy Pelosi, is a heavily Democratic stronghold where the general election outcome hinges on turnout among progressive and moderate Democratic voters. Wiener's advantages include stronger name recognition from his state Senate tenure, higher fundraising totals, and emphasis on housing production and recent AI safety legislation. Chan benefits from Pelosi's endorsement and support among progressive activists. Trader consensus reflects these primary results and structural factors, with Wiener favored but the race remaining open to shifts from late campaign developments or turnout patterns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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