Trump’s approval rating in his second term has trended downward through 2025–2026, recently reaching lows near 33% in Economist/YouGov and similar polls amid the mid-July resumption of U.S. strikes on Iran and a resulting cycle of military exchanges. Public opposition to the conflict’s costs, combined with persistent affordability and economic concerns ahead of the November 2026 midterms, has weighed on support and reduced near-term rebound potential. Aggregators place current figures in the mid-to-high 30s with net approval at historic lows for this stage of a presidency. Key variables for any 2026 peak include further Iran developments, midterm outcomes, and economic indicators that could shift polling averages before year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 44%
6%
↑ 45%
6%
↑ 46%
6%
↑ 47%
11%
↑ 48%
5%
↑ 49%
5%
↑ 50%
8%
$7,531 KL.
↑ 44%
$3,192 KL.
6%
↑ 45%
$320 KL.
6%
↑ 46%
$1,036 KL.
6%
↑ 47%
$480 KL.
11%
↑ 48%
$779 KL.
5%
↑ 49%
$656 KL.
5%
↑ 50%
$1,067 KL.
8%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump’s approval rating in his second term has trended downward through 2025–2026, recently reaching lows near 33% in Economist/YouGov and similar polls amid the mid-July resumption of U.S. strikes on Iran and a resulting cycle of military exchanges. Public opposition to the conflict’s costs, combined with persistent affordability and economic concerns ahead of the November 2026 midterms, has weighed on support and reduced near-term rebound potential. Aggregators place current figures in the mid-to-high 30s with net approval at historic lows for this stage of a presidency. Key variables for any 2026 peak include further Iran developments, midterm outcomes, and economic indicators that could shift polling averages before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Thị trường mở: Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
Khối lượng
$7,531Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump’s approval rating in his second term has trended downward through 2025–2026, recently reaching lows near 33% in Economist/YouGov and similar polls amid the mid-July resumption of U.S. strikes on Iran and a resulting cycle of military exchanges. Public opposition to the conflict’s costs, combined with persistent affordability and economic concerns ahead of the November 2026 midterms, has weighed on support and reduced near-term rebound potential. Aggregators place current figures in the mid-to-high 30s with net approval at historic lows for this stage of a presidency. Key variables for any 2026 peak include further Iran developments, midterm outcomes, and economic indicators that could shift polling averages before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Khối lượng
$7,531Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s approval rating in his second term has trended downward through 2025–2026, recently reaching lows near 33% in Economist/YouGov and similar polls amid the mid-July resumption of U.S. strikes on Iran and a resulting cycle of military exchanges. Public opposition to the conflict’s costs, combined with persistent affordability and economic concerns ahead of the November 2026 midterms, has weighed on support and reduced near-term rebound potential. Aggregators place current figures in the mid-to-high 30s with net approval at historic lows for this stage of a presidency. Key variables for any 2026 peak include further Iran developments, midterm outcomes, and economic indicators that could shift polling averages before year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp