President Donald Trump’s approval rating has trended downward through the first half of 2026, settling near 35-40 percent in recent aggregators amid widespread dissatisfaction with U.S. military involvement in Iran and associated economic pressures such as elevated fuel prices. Republican support has remained relatively stable, but independents and Democrats have driven the net approval figure to a second-term low near minus 19. The November 2026 midterm elections, ongoing legislative priorities, and any diplomatic or economic shifts tied to the Iran situation represent the main near-term catalysts that could influence whether ratings rebound or remain constrained before year-end.