Elon Musk's recent daily posting rates of 30–50+ tweets on X have anchored trader sentiment around the 160–219 range for the August 14–21 week, with 180–199 edging out as the narrow leader at 18.5% implied probability. This reflects consistent engagement with SpaceX updates, Tesla developments, and real-time commentary, producing weekly totals that fluctuate based on news cycles rather than fixed patterns. The tight clustering between 160–179 and 200–219 highlights variability from major announcements or viral moments, while lower ranges remain discounted absent a sharp slowdown. Upcoming catalysts like any Starship-related activity or platform metrics could shift momentum within this competitive band.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật180-199 19%
160-179 18%
200-219 17%
220-239 13%
MỚI
$109,058 KL.
MỚI
$109,058 KL.
Aug 21, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
5%
140-159
10%
160-179
18%
180-199
19%
200-219
17%
220-239
13%
240-259
8%
260-279
5%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 19%
160-179 18%
200-219 17%
220-239 13%
MỚI
$109,058 KL.
MỚI
$109,058 KL.
Aug 21, 2026
<20
$1,883 KL.
<1%
20-39
$1,883 KL.
<1%
40-59
$1,883 KL.
<1%
60-79
$12,742 KL.
<1%
80-99
$10,336 KL.
<1%
100-119
$21,854 KL.
1%
120-139
$12,806 KL.
5%
140-159
$1,396 KL.
10%
160-179
$2,981 KL.
18%
180-199
$1,704 KL.
19%
200-219
$1,134 KL.
17%
220-239
$1,183 KL.
13%
240-259
$1,282 KL.
8%
260-279
$1,400 KL.
5%
280-299
$4,487 KL.
2%
300-319
$2,515 KL.
1%
320-339
$2,159 KL.
1%
340-359
$1,310 KL.
1%
360-379
$892 KL.
1%
380-399
$790 KL.
<1%
400-419
$1,474 KL.
<1%
420-439
$1,653 KL.
<1%
440-459
$1,933 KL.
<1%
460-479
$1,383 KL.
<1%
480-499
$1,383 KL.
<1%
500+
$14,615 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's recent daily posting rates of 30–50+ tweets on X have anchored trader sentiment around the 160–219 range for the August 14–21 week, with 180–199 edging out as the narrow leader at 18.5% implied probability. This reflects consistent engagement with SpaceX updates, Tesla developments, and real-time commentary, producing weekly totals that fluctuate based on news cycles rather than fixed patterns. The tight clustering between 160–179 and 200–219 highlights variability from major announcements or viral moments, while lower ranges remain discounted absent a sharp slowdown. Upcoming catalysts like any Starship-related activity or platform metrics could shift momentum within this competitive band.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Khối lượng
$109,058Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's recent daily posting rates of 30–50+ tweets on X have anchored trader sentiment around the 160–219 range for the August 14–21 week, with 180–199 edging out as the narrow leader at 18.5% implied probability. This reflects consistent engagement with SpaceX updates, Tesla developments, and real-time commentary, producing weekly totals that fluctuate based on news cycles rather than fixed patterns. The tight clustering between 160–179 and 200–219 highlights variability from major announcements or viral moments, while lower ranges remain discounted absent a sharp slowdown. Upcoming catalysts like any Starship-related activity or platform metrics could shift momentum within this competitive band.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$109,058Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's recent daily posting rates of 30–50+ tweets on X have anchored trader sentiment around the 160–219 range for the August 14–21 week, with 180–199 edging out as the narrow leader at 18.5% implied probability. This reflects consistent engagement with SpaceX updates, Tesla developments, and real-time commentary, producing weekly totals that fluctuate based on news cycles rather than fixed patterns. The tight clustering between 160–179 and 200–219 highlights variability from major announcements or viral moments, while lower ranges remain discounted absent a sharp slowdown. Upcoming catalysts like any Starship-related activity or platform metrics could shift momentum within this competitive band.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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