**Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts from relevant Khamenei X accounts in the August 18-25 window, reflecting the accounts' established pattern of low-volume activity.** Mojtaba Khamenei serves as Iran's Supreme Leader following Ali Khamenei's death in early 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes, with official accounts (@khamenei_ir and @MKhamenei_ir) focused on statements, translations, and limited official releases. Historical weekly counts show sparse output absent major escalations, aligning with similar prior markets pricing sub-five posts above 80%. No high-impact diplomatic, military, or domestic events are scheduled in the immediate resolution period that would trigger elevated posting volume, keeping probabilities concentrated on the lowest bin while allowing modest upside in the 5-9 range if routine updates occur.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKhamenei # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
<5 61%
5-9 28%
10-14 10%
15-19 3.4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 25, 2026
<5
61%
5-9
28%
10-14
10%
15-19
3%
20-24
1%
25-29
3%
30-34
3%
35-39
3%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 61%
5-9 28%
10-14 10%
15-19 3.4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 25, 2026
<5
$3,332 KL.
61%
5-9
$1,044 KL.
28%
10-14
$191 KL.
10%
15-19
$13 KL.
3%
20-24
$13 KL.
1%
25-29
$13 KL.
3%
30-34
$13 KL.
3%
35-39
$13 KL.
3%
40-44
$18 KL.
1%
45-49
$18 KL.
1%
50-54
$13 KL.
1%
55-59
$13 KL.
1%
60+
$13 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts from relevant Khamenei X accounts in the August 18-25 window, reflecting the accounts' established pattern of low-volume activity.**
Mojtaba Khamenei serves as Iran's Supreme Leader following Ali Khamenei's death in early 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes, with official accounts (@khamenei_ir and @MKhamenei_ir) focused on statements, translations, and limited official releases. Historical weekly counts show sparse output absent major escalations, aligning with similar prior markets pricing sub-five posts above 80%. No high-impact diplomatic, military, or domestic events are scheduled in the immediate resolution period that would trigger elevated posting volume, keeping probabilities concentrated on the lowest bin while allowing modest upside in the 5-9 range if routine updates occur.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,707Ngày kết thúc
Aug 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts from relevant Khamenei X accounts in the August 18-25 window, reflecting the accounts' established pattern of low-volume activity.**
Mojtaba Khamenei serves as Iran's Supreme Leader following Ali Khamenei's death in early 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes, with official accounts (@khamenei_ir and @MKhamenei_ir) focused on statements, translations, and limited official releases. Historical weekly counts show sparse output absent major escalations, aligning with similar prior markets pricing sub-five posts above 80%. No high-impact diplomatic, military, or domestic events are scheduled in the immediate resolution period that would trigger elevated posting volume, keeping probabilities concentrated on the lowest bin while allowing modest upside in the 5-9 range if routine updates occur.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$4,707Ngày kết thúc
Aug 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts from relevant Khamenei X accounts in the August 18-25 window, reflecting the accounts' established pattern of low-volume activity.** Mojtaba Khamenei serves as Iran's Supreme Leader following Ali Khamenei's death in early 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes, with official accounts (@khamenei_ir and @MKhamenei_ir) focused on statements, translations, and limited official releases. Historical weekly counts show sparse output absent major escalations, aligning with similar prior markets pricing sub-five posts above 80%. No high-impact diplomatic, military, or domestic events are scheduled in the immediate resolution period that would trigger elevated posting volume, keeping probabilities concentrated on the lowest bin while allowing modest upside in the 5-9 range if routine updates occur.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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