Recent UK CPI readings at 2.6% for June 2026 reflect easing in core goods and services, yet Bank of England July projections anticipate a rise toward 3.2% by Q4 driven by indirect energy effects and elevated world export prices from Middle East tensions. These dynamics create balanced market-implied odds near 3%, with the narrow contest between 2.5–2.9% and 3.5–3.9% bins reflecting uncertainty over the persistence of food and import price pressures versus potential moderation in wage growth. Traders weigh the path of the sterling effective exchange rate and upcoming ONS releases against historical base rates, where prior energy shocks produced sharper second-round effects than currently priced.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtU.K. Annual Inflation 2026
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
3.5–3.9% 23.8%
2.5–2.9% 23.4%
4.0-4.4% 9%
4.5%+ 8%
$55,592 KL.
$55,592 KL.
Jan 20, 2027
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.4%
4%
1.5–1.9%
2%
2.0–2.4%
7%
2.5–2.9%
23%
3.0–3.4%
-
3.5–3.9%
24%
4.0-4.4%
9%
4.5%+
8%
3.5–3.9% 23.8%
2.5–2.9% 23.4%
4.0-4.4% 9%
4.5%+ 8%
$55,592 KL.
$55,592 KL.
Jan 20, 2027
<1.0%
$876 KL.
<1%
1.0–1.4%
$1,193 KL.
4%
1.5–1.9%
$554 KL.
2%
2.0–2.4%
$4,090 KL.
7%
2.5–2.9%
$13,417 KL.
23%
3.0–3.4%
$0 KL.
-
3.5–3.9%
$22,135 KL.
24%
4.0-4.4%
$5,458 KL.
9%
4.5%+
$7,869 KL.
8%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent UK CPI readings at 2.6% for June 2026 reflect easing in core goods and services, yet Bank of England July projections anticipate a rise toward 3.2% by Q4 driven by indirect energy effects and elevated world export prices from Middle East tensions. These dynamics create balanced market-implied odds near 3%, with the narrow contest between 2.5–2.9% and 3.5–3.9% bins reflecting uncertainty over the persistence of food and import price pressures versus potential moderation in wage growth. Traders weigh the path of the sterling effective exchange rate and upcoming ONS releases against historical base rates, where prior energy shocks produced sharper second-round effects than currently priced.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Thị trường mở: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Khối lượng
$55,592Ngày kết thúc
Jan 20, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent UK CPI readings at 2.6% for June 2026 reflect easing in core goods and services, yet Bank of England July projections anticipate a rise toward 3.2% by Q4 driven by indirect energy effects and elevated world export prices from Middle East tensions. These dynamics create balanced market-implied odds near 3%, with the narrow contest between 2.5–2.9% and 3.5–3.9% bins reflecting uncertainty over the persistence of food and import price pressures versus potential moderation in wage growth. Traders weigh the path of the sterling effective exchange rate and upcoming ONS releases against historical base rates, where prior energy shocks produced sharper second-round effects than currently priced.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Khối lượng
$55,592Ngày kết thúc
Jan 20, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent UK CPI readings at 2.6% for June 2026 reflect easing in core goods and services, yet Bank of England July projections anticipate a rise toward 3.2% by Q4 driven by indirect energy effects and elevated world export prices from Middle East tensions. These dynamics create balanced market-implied odds near 3%, with the narrow contest between 2.5–2.9% and 3.5–3.9% bins reflecting uncertainty over the persistence of food and import price pressures versus potential moderation in wage growth. Traders weigh the path of the sterling effective exchange rate and upcoming ONS releases against historical base rates, where prior energy shocks produced sharper second-round effects than currently priced.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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