Elevated energy prices driven by Middle East tensions have led the Bank of England to revise its 2026 inflation outlook higher, underpinning the 34.5% implied probability on outcomes above 4.5%. March 2026 CPI data showed a rise to 3.3%, with core services inflation holding near 4.5% amid tight labor markets and wage pressures. These factors differentiate higher bands from the 3.5–4.4% and 2.0–2.9% ranges, which would require faster disinflation if oil prices moderate quickly and second-round effects remain contained. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over upcoming CPI prints and BoE policy responses, where sustained above-target readings could reinforce the upper probabilities while a swift return toward the 2% target would favor lower outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtU.K. Annual Inflation 2026
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
4.0-4.4% 29%
3.5–3.9% 25%
4.5%+ 23%
1.0–1.4% 4.5%
MỚI
MỚI
Jan 20, 2027
<1.0%
1%
1.0–1.4%
5%
1.5–1.9%
4%
2.0–2.4%
11%
2.5–2.9%
7%
3.5–3.9%
25%
4.0-4.4%
29%
4.5%+
35%
4.0-4.4% 29%
3.5–3.9% 25%
4.5%+ 23%
1.0–1.4% 4.5%
MỚI
MỚI
Jan 20, 2027
<1.0%
$802 KL.
1%
1.0–1.4%
$330 KL.
5%
1.5–1.9%
$483 KL.
4%
2.0–2.4%
$305 KL.
11%
2.5–2.9%
$385 KL.
7%
3.5–3.9%
$525 KL.
25%
4.0-4.4%
$420 KL.
29%
4.5%+
$1,080 KL.
35%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarElevated energy prices driven by Middle East tensions have led the Bank of England to revise its 2026 inflation outlook higher, underpinning the 34.5% implied probability on outcomes above 4.5%. March 2026 CPI data showed a rise to 3.3%, with core services inflation holding near 4.5% amid tight labor markets and wage pressures. These factors differentiate higher bands from the 3.5–4.4% and 2.0–2.9% ranges, which would require faster disinflation if oil prices moderate quickly and second-round effects remain contained. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over upcoming CPI prints and BoE policy responses, where sustained above-target readings could reinforce the upper probabilities while a swift return toward the 2% target would favor lower outcomes.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Thị trường mở: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Khối lượng
$4,329Ngày kết thúc
Jan 20, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarElevated energy prices driven by Middle East tensions have led the Bank of England to revise its 2026 inflation outlook higher, underpinning the 34.5% implied probability on outcomes above 4.5%. March 2026 CPI data showed a rise to 3.3%, with core services inflation holding near 4.5% amid tight labor markets and wage pressures. These factors differentiate higher bands from the 3.5–4.4% and 2.0–2.9% ranges, which would require faster disinflation if oil prices moderate quickly and second-round effects remain contained. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over upcoming CPI prints and BoE policy responses, where sustained above-target readings could reinforce the upper probabilities while a swift return toward the 2% target would favor lower outcomes.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Khối lượng
$4,329Ngày kết thúc
Jan 20, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Elevated energy prices driven by Middle East tensions have led the Bank of England to revise its 2026 inflation outlook higher, underpinning the 34.5% implied probability on outcomes above 4.5%. March 2026 CPI data showed a rise to 3.3%, with core services inflation holding near 4.5% amid tight labor markets and wage pressures. These factors differentiate higher bands from the 3.5–4.4% and 2.0–2.9% ranges, which would require faster disinflation if oil prices moderate quickly and second-round effects remain contained. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over upcoming CPI prints and BoE policy responses, where sustained above-target readings could reinforce the upper probabilities while a swift return toward the 2% target would favor lower outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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