Argentina's July 2026 monthly inflation print of 2.1% month-over-month, exceeding consensus and marking a modest acceleration from June's 1.9%, has shaped trader positioning for the August release expected in mid-September. Persistent disinflation momentum under fiscal consolidation and monetary tightening supports the market-implied 55.8% probability on the 1.8-2.0% band, with analysts projecting a moderation to around 1.8% amid contained exchange-rate pass-through and lower seasonal pressures. The 31.8% odds on 1.5-1.7% reflect scope for further cooling if core components ease, while the 10.4% on 2.1-2.3% accounts for residual upside risks from regulated prices. Aggregated capital at risk on Polymarket embeds these dynamics against a year-end inflation trajectory now seen near 30%.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtArgentina Monthly Inflation - August
Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
1.8-2.0% 55.8%
1.5-1.7% 31.8%
2.1-2.3% 10.4%
1.2-1.4% <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
≤1.1%
1%
1.2-1.4%
1%
1.5-1.7%
32%
1.8-2.0%
56%
2.1-2.3%
10%
2.4-2.6%
1%
2.7-2.9%
1%
3.0%+
1%
1.8-2.0% 55.8%
1.5-1.7% 31.8%
2.1-2.3% 10.4%
1.2-1.4% <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
≤1.1%
$282 KL.
1%
1.2-1.4%
$275 KL.
1%
1.5-1.7%
$1,839 KL.
32%
1.8-2.0%
$2,324 KL.
56%
2.1-2.3%
$687 KL.
10%
2.4-2.6%
$275 KL.
1%
2.7-2.9%
$275 KL.
1%
3.0%+
$275 KL.
1%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's July 2026 monthly inflation print of 2.1% month-over-month, exceeding consensus and marking a modest acceleration from June's 1.9%, has shaped trader positioning for the August release expected in mid-September. Persistent disinflation momentum under fiscal consolidation and monetary tightening supports the market-implied 55.8% probability on the 1.8-2.0% band, with analysts projecting a moderation to around 1.8% amid contained exchange-rate pass-through and lower seasonal pressures. The 31.8% odds on 1.5-1.7% reflect scope for further cooling if core components ease, while the 10.4% on 2.1-2.3% accounts for residual upside risks from regulated prices. Aggregated capital at risk on Polymarket embeds these dynamics against a year-end inflation trajectory now seen near 30%.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,231Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's July 2026 monthly inflation print of 2.1% month-over-month, exceeding consensus and marking a modest acceleration from June's 1.9%, has shaped trader positioning for the August release expected in mid-September. Persistent disinflation momentum under fiscal consolidation and monetary tightening supports the market-implied 55.8% probability on the 1.8-2.0% band, with analysts projecting a moderation to around 1.8% amid contained exchange-rate pass-through and lower seasonal pressures. The 31.8% odds on 1.5-1.7% reflect scope for further cooling if core components ease, while the 10.4% on 2.1-2.3% accounts for residual upside risks from regulated prices. Aggregated capital at risk on Polymarket embeds these dynamics against a year-end inflation trajectory now seen near 30%.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Khối lượng
$6,231Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Argentina's July 2026 monthly inflation print of 2.1% month-over-month, exceeding consensus and marking a modest acceleration from June's 1.9%, has shaped trader positioning for the August release expected in mid-September. Persistent disinflation momentum under fiscal consolidation and monetary tightening supports the market-implied 55.8% probability on the 1.8-2.0% band, with analysts projecting a moderation to around 1.8% amid contained exchange-rate pass-through and lower seasonal pressures. The 31.8% odds on 1.5-1.7% reflect scope for further cooling if core components ease, while the 10.4% on 2.1-2.3% accounts for residual upside risks from regulated prices. Aggregated capital at risk on Polymarket embeds these dynamics against a year-end inflation trajectory now seen near 30%.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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