Japan’s core-core CPI, excluding fresh food and energy, registered 1.9% year-over-year in August 2026, unchanged from July and below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for a fifth straight month amid energy subsidies and softer food price gains. Trader positioning favoring the 2.0-2.4% range for the 2026 annual outcome reflects BoJ forecasts of acceleration in the second half of the fiscal year, driven by yen depreciation, elevated crude oil prices, AI-related semiconductor demand, and ongoing wage-price pass-through. Recent producer price data showing 7.6% annual gains and resilient nominal wage growth of around 3.5% reinforce expectations of a modest updrift, while near-term subsidies and base effects cap upside risks. Upcoming monthly releases and the BoJ’s October policy meeting will provide further signals on the path toward the 2% stability target.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật2.0-2.4% 75%
≤1.9% 23%
2.5-2.9% <1%
4.0%+ <1%
$60,913 KL.
$60,913 KL.
Feb 12, 2027
≤1.9%
23%
2.0-2.4%
75%
2.5-2.9%
1%
3.0-3.4%
<1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
1%
2.0-2.4% 75%
≤1.9% 23%
2.5-2.9% <1%
4.0%+ <1%
$60,913 KL.
$60,913 KL.
Feb 12, 2027
≤1.9%
$17,271 KL.
23%
2.0-2.4%
$26,302 KL.
75%
2.5-2.9%
$11,369 KL.
1%
3.0-3.4%
$2,464 KL.
<1%
3.5-3.9%
$1,485 KL.
<1%
4.0%+
$2,022 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Japan’s core-core CPI, excluding fresh food and energy, registered 1.9% year-over-year in August 2026, unchanged from July and below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for a fifth straight month amid energy subsidies and softer food price gains. Trader positioning favoring the 2.0-2.4% range for the 2026 annual outcome reflects BoJ forecasts of acceleration in the second half of the fiscal year, driven by yen depreciation, elevated crude oil prices, AI-related semiconductor demand, and ongoing wage-price pass-through. Recent producer price data showing 7.6% annual gains and resilient nominal wage growth of around 3.5% reinforce expectations of a modest updrift, while near-term subsidies and base effects cap upside risks. Upcoming monthly releases and the BoJ’s October policy meeting will provide further signals on the path toward the 2% stability target.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Thị trường mở: Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Khối lượng
$60,913Ngày kết thúc
Feb 12, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Japan’s core-core CPI, excluding fresh food and energy, registered 1.9% year-over-year in August 2026, unchanged from July and below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for a fifth straight month amid energy subsidies and softer food price gains. Trader positioning favoring the 2.0-2.4% range for the 2026 annual outcome reflects BoJ forecasts of acceleration in the second half of the fiscal year, driven by yen depreciation, elevated crude oil prices, AI-related semiconductor demand, and ongoing wage-price pass-through. Recent producer price data showing 7.6% annual gains and resilient nominal wage growth of around 3.5% reinforce expectations of a modest updrift, while near-term subsidies and base effects cap upside risks. Upcoming monthly releases and the BoJ’s October policy meeting will provide further signals on the path toward the 2% stability target.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Khối lượng
$60,913Ngày kết thúc
Feb 12, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Japan’s core-core CPI, excluding fresh food and energy, registered 1.9% year-over-year in August 2026, unchanged from July and below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for a fifth straight month amid energy subsidies and softer food price gains. Trader positioning favoring the 2.0-2.4% range for the 2026 annual outcome reflects BoJ forecasts of acceleration in the second half of the fiscal year, driven by yen depreciation, elevated crude oil prices, AI-related semiconductor demand, and ongoing wage-price pass-through. Recent producer price data showing 7.6% annual gains and resilient nominal wage growth of around 3.5% reinforce expectations of a modest updrift, while near-term subsidies and base effects cap upside risks. Upcoming monthly releases and the BoJ’s October policy meeting will provide further signals on the path toward the 2% stability target.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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