Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 74% implied probability for India's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 4.50%, reflecting the Reserve Bank of India's April 2026 Monetary Policy Committee projection of 4.6% for FY27 amid rising food pressures and West Asia geopolitical risks. Headline CPI accelerated to 3.48% year-on-year in April—up from 3.40% in March—driven by 4.2% food inflation from elevated vegetable prices like tomatoes, signaling an upward trajectory after earlier lows in the new 2024=100 series. Lower bins trail as base effects fade and core pressures build toward the 4% target midpoint, with June MPC and May CPI release as key catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật4.50%+ 81%
3.00% to 3.74% 9.3%
2.25% to 2.99% 8.3%
<0.75% 8%
$60,211 KL.
$60,211 KL.
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
8%
0.75% to 1.49%
4%
1.50% to 2.24%
12%
2.25% to 2.99%
8%
3.00% to 3.74%
9%
3.75% to 4.49%
1%
4.50%+
75%
4.50%+ 81%
3.00% to 3.74% 9.3%
2.25% to 2.99% 8.3%
<0.75% 8%
$60,211 KL.
$60,211 KL.
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
$747 KL.
8%
0.75% to 1.49%
$500 KL.
4%
1.50% to 2.24%
$415 KL.
12%
2.25% to 2.99%
$23,739 KL.
8%
3.00% to 3.74%
$517 KL.
9%
3.75% to 4.49%
$23,112 KL.
1%
4.50%+
$11,181 KL.
75%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 74% implied probability for India's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 4.50%, reflecting the Reserve Bank of India's April 2026 Monetary Policy Committee projection of 4.6% for FY27 amid rising food pressures and West Asia geopolitical risks. Headline CPI accelerated to 3.48% year-on-year in April—up from 3.40% in March—driven by 4.2% food inflation from elevated vegetable prices like tomatoes, signaling an upward trajectory after earlier lows in the new 2024=100 series. Lower bins trail as base effects fade and core pressures build toward the 4% target midpoint, with June MPC and May CPI release as key catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Thị trường mở: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Khối lượng
$60,211Ngày kết thúc
Jan 12, 2027Thị trường mở
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 74% implied probability for India's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 4.50%, reflecting the Reserve Bank of India's April 2026 Monetary Policy Committee projection of 4.6% for FY27 amid rising food pressures and West Asia geopolitical risks. Headline CPI accelerated to 3.48% year-on-year in April—up from 3.40% in March—driven by 4.2% food inflation from elevated vegetable prices like tomatoes, signaling an upward trajectory after earlier lows in the new 2024=100 series. Lower bins trail as base effects fade and core pressures build toward the 4% target midpoint, with June MPC and May CPI release as key catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Khối lượng
$60,211Ngày kết thúc
Jan 12, 2027Thị trường mở
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 74% implied probability for India's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 4.50%, reflecting the Reserve Bank of India's April 2026 Monetary Policy Committee projection of 4.6% for FY27 amid rising food pressures and West Asia geopolitical risks. Headline CPI accelerated to 3.48% year-on-year in April—up from 3.40% in March—driven by 4.2% food inflation from elevated vegetable prices like tomatoes, signaling an upward trajectory after earlier lows in the new 2024=100 series. Lower bins trail as base effects fade and core pressures build toward the 4% target midpoint, with June MPC and May CPI release as key catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp