Recent monthly CPI readings climbing to 4.45% in July 2026 from 3.93% in May have reinforced trader consensus for India’s full-year 2026 inflation settling above 4.50%, with the 79.5% market-implied probability reflecting sustained upward pressure from food prices and energy costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions. Food inflation near 5.5% and transportation components have accelerated on higher vegetable and fuel costs, while a weaker monsoon outlook adds downside risk to supply. The Reserve Bank of India has already lifted its fiscal-year projection, and ongoing global commodity volatility continues to support the elevated range over lower outcomes priced below 15% combined. Key data releases and monsoon updates through year-end remain the primary near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật4.50%+ 80%
3.75% to 4.49% 14.5%
<0.75% 3.8%
3.00% to 3.74% 2.6%
$78,025 KL.
$78,025 KL.
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
4%
0.75% to 1.49%
<1%
1.50% to 2.24%
1%
2.25% to 2.99%
1%
3.00% to 3.74%
3%
3.75% to 4.49%
15%
4.50%+
80%
4.50%+ 80%
3.75% to 4.49% 14.5%
<0.75% 3.8%
3.00% to 3.74% 2.6%
$78,025 KL.
$78,025 KL.
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
$1,769 KL.
4%
0.75% to 1.49%
$1,191 KL.
<1%
1.50% to 2.24%
$1,265 KL.
1%
2.25% to 2.99%
$24,989 KL.
1%
3.00% to 3.74%
$2,081 KL.
3%
3.75% to 4.49%
$29,492 KL.
15%
4.50%+
$17,238 KL.
80%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfRecent monthly CPI readings climbing to 4.45% in July 2026 from 3.93% in May have reinforced trader consensus for India’s full-year 2026 inflation settling above 4.50%, with the 79.5% market-implied probability reflecting sustained upward pressure from food prices and energy costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions. Food inflation near 5.5% and transportation components have accelerated on higher vegetable and fuel costs, while a weaker monsoon outlook adds downside risk to supply. The Reserve Bank of India has already lifted its fiscal-year projection, and ongoing global commodity volatility continues to support the elevated range over lower outcomes priced below 15% combined. Key data releases and monsoon updates through year-end remain the primary near-term catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Thị trường mở: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Khối lượng
$78,025Ngày kết thúc
Jan 12, 2027Thị trường mở
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfRecent monthly CPI readings climbing to 4.45% in July 2026 from 3.93% in May have reinforced trader consensus for India’s full-year 2026 inflation settling above 4.50%, with the 79.5% market-implied probability reflecting sustained upward pressure from food prices and energy costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions. Food inflation near 5.5% and transportation components have accelerated on higher vegetable and fuel costs, while a weaker monsoon outlook adds downside risk to supply. The Reserve Bank of India has already lifted its fiscal-year projection, and ongoing global commodity volatility continues to support the elevated range over lower outcomes priced below 15% combined. Key data releases and monsoon updates through year-end remain the primary near-term catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Khối lượng
$78,025Ngày kết thúc
Jan 12, 2027Thị trường mở
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent monthly CPI readings climbing to 4.45% in July 2026 from 3.93% in May have reinforced trader consensus for India’s full-year 2026 inflation settling above 4.50%, with the 79.5% market-implied probability reflecting sustained upward pressure from food prices and energy costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions. Food inflation near 5.5% and transportation components have accelerated on higher vegetable and fuel costs, while a weaker monsoon outlook adds downside risk to supply. The Reserve Bank of India has already lifted its fiscal-year projection, and ongoing global commodity volatility continues to support the elevated range over lower outcomes priced below 15% combined. Key data releases and monsoon updates through year-end remain the primary near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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