Prime Minister Narendra Modi's secure position in his third term, sworn in June 2024 with the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) holding a Lok Sabha majority, underpins trader consensus at 89.3% "No" for him ceasing to be PM by December 31, 2026. Recent state assembly election victories in key regions have bolstered the NDA's cohesion midway through the term, countering earlier opposition claims like Arvind Kejriwal's March 2026 prediction of an early exit, which remain unsubstantiated amid stable coalition dynamics. No-confidence threats or snap election triggers have materialized, with routine partisan rhetoric failing to erode Modi's leadership. Upcoming 2026 budget reviews and NDA outreach signal continuity, barring unforeseen health, legal, or economic shocks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
$32,088 KL.
$32,088 KL.
$32,088 KL.
$32,088 KL.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Narendra Modi's secure position in his third term, sworn in June 2024 with the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) holding a Lok Sabha majority, underpins trader consensus at 89.3% "No" for him ceasing to be PM by December 31, 2026. Recent state assembly election victories in key regions have bolstered the NDA's cohesion midway through the term, countering earlier opposition claims like Arvind Kejriwal's March 2026 prediction of an early exit, which remain unsubstantiated amid stable coalition dynamics. No-confidence threats or snap election triggers have materialized, with routine partisan rhetoric failing to erode Modi's leadership. Upcoming 2026 budget reviews and NDA outreach signal continuity, barring unforeseen health, legal, or economic shocks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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