Recent July 2026 PPI data cooling to 4.7% YoY—below the 4.9% consensus and prior 5.5% print—has produced closely matched probabilities across 4.6–5.1%+ outcomes for the August reading, reflecting trader uncertainty over the inflation trajectory. This moderation aligns with the concurrent 3.4% July CPI and easing core measures, driven by goods deflation and lower energy costs, yet persistent services pressures and commodity volatility could support a rebound. Market-implied odds price in a contested path versus official guidance, with the September 10 release serving as the immediate catalyst alongside upcoming labor and PCE data that may shift rate expectations and Treasury yields.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật5.1%+ 47%
4.7% 38%
5.0% 38%
4.6% 38%
≤4.2%
7%
4.3%
7%
4.4%
7%
4.5%
7%
4.6%
38%
4.7%
38%
4.8%
36%
4.9%
36%
5.0%
38%
5.1%+
47%
5.1%+ 47%
4.7% 38%
5.0% 38%
4.6% 38%
≤4.2%
7%
4.3%
7%
4.4%
7%
4.5%
7%
4.6%
38%
4.7%
38%
4.8%
36%
4.9%
36%
5.0%
38%
5.1%+
47%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 PPI data cooling to 4.7% YoY—below the 4.9% consensus and prior 5.5% print—has produced closely matched probabilities across 4.6–5.1%+ outcomes for the August reading, reflecting trader uncertainty over the inflation trajectory. This moderation aligns with the concurrent 3.4% July CPI and easing core measures, driven by goods deflation and lower energy costs, yet persistent services pressures and commodity volatility could support a rebound. Market-implied odds price in a contested path versus official guidance, with the September 10 release serving as the immediate catalyst alongside upcoming labor and PCE data that may shift rate expectations and Treasury yields.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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