Senator Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) leads Polymarket trader consensus at 49.5% implied probability for the October 4, 2026, Minas Gerais gubernatorial election, reflecting his dominance in the latest Genial/Quaest poll from April 28, where he topped all first- and second-round scenarios against rivals like Rodrigo Pacheco and Alexandre Kalil. Pacheco holds second at 18.5% amid low rejection rates and ongoing talks with PT for potential coalition support, as he conditions his candidacy on greater federal involvement in the state. Trailing candidates like Tadeu Leite (10.7%) and Kalil (9.7%) face fragmented opposition in a field boosted by incumbent Romeu Zema's high approval, though party conventions after July could reshape alliances and polls.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCleitinho Azevedo 50%
Rodrigo Pacheco 19%
Alexandre Kalil 8.1%
Alexandre Silveira 6.3%
$17,352 KL.
$17,352 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Cleitinho Azevedo
50%
Rodrigo Pacheco
19%
Alexandre Kalil
8%
Alexandre Silveira
6%
Gabriel Azevedo
7%
Aécio Neves
4%
Nikolas Ferreira
4%
Benoni Mendes
3%
Mateus Simões
2%
Tadeu Leite
11%
Cleitinho Azevedo 50%
Rodrigo Pacheco 19%
Alexandre Kalil 8.1%
Alexandre Silveira 6.3%
$17,352 KL.
$17,352 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Cleitinho Azevedo
$5,693 KL.
50%
Rodrigo Pacheco
$2,947 KL.
19%
Alexandre Kalil
$744 KL.
8%
Alexandre Silveira
$595 KL.
6%
Gabriel Azevedo
$1,424 KL.
7%
Aécio Neves
$632 KL.
4%
Nikolas Ferreira
$2,174 KL.
4%
Benoni Mendes
$972 KL.
3%
Mateus Simões
$626 KL.
2%
Tadeu Leite
$1,544 KL.
11%
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Senator Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) leads Polymarket trader consensus at 49.5% implied probability for the October 4, 2026, Minas Gerais gubernatorial election, reflecting his dominance in the latest Genial/Quaest poll from April 28, where he topped all first- and second-round scenarios against rivals like Rodrigo Pacheco and Alexandre Kalil. Pacheco holds second at 18.5% amid low rejection rates and ongoing talks with PT for potential coalition support, as he conditions his candidacy on greater federal involvement in the state. Trailing candidates like Tadeu Leite (10.7%) and Kalil (9.7%) face fragmented opposition in a field boosted by incumbent Romeu Zema's high approval, though party conventions after July could reshape alliances and polls.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Khối lượng
$17,352Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Senator Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) leads Polymarket trader consensus at 49.5% implied probability for the October 4, 2026, Minas Gerais gubernatorial election, reflecting his dominance in the latest Genial/Quaest poll from April 28, where he topped all first- and second-round scenarios against rivals like Rodrigo Pacheco and Alexandre Kalil. Pacheco holds second at 18.5% amid low rejection rates and ongoing talks with PT for potential coalition support, as he conditions his candidacy on greater federal involvement in the state. Trailing candidates like Tadeu Leite (10.7%) and Kalil (9.7%) face fragmented opposition in a field boosted by incumbent Romeu Zema's high approval, though party conventions after July could reshape alliances and polls.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$17,352Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Senator Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) leads Polymarket trader consensus at 49.5% implied probability for the October 4, 2026, Minas Gerais gubernatorial election, reflecting his dominance in the latest Genial/Quaest poll from April 28, where he topped all first- and second-round scenarios against rivals like Rodrigo Pacheco and Alexandre Kalil. Pacheco holds second at 18.5% amid low rejection rates and ongoing talks with PT for potential coalition support, as he conditions his candidacy on greater federal involvement in the state. Trailing candidates like Tadeu Leite (10.7%) and Kalil (9.7%) face fragmented opposition in a field boosted by incumbent Romeu Zema's high approval, though party conventions after July could reshape alliances and polls.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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