Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, holds the strongest position in the October 4 first-round contest. Recent polls from late August and early September consistently place him in the lead with 35–42% support, ahead of main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), the former Vitória mayor, at 28–33%. Ferraço benefits from an approval rating near 76%, a broad multi-party coalition, and emphasis on fiscal continuity plus public security. Second-round simulations show him defeating Pazolini or other opponents by double-digit margins. Pazolini’s campaign has faced a minor early-campaigning fine, while lower-polling candidates such as Helder Salomão (PT) register single-digit support. Trader consensus aligns with these polling trends and the structural advantages of incumbency ahead of the October runoff window if needed.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtRicardo Ferraço 66%
Lorenzo Pazolini 35%
Sergio Vidigal <1%
Arnaldinho Borgo <1%
$40,613 KL.
$40,613 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
66%
Lorenzo Pazolini
35%
Sergio Vidigal
<1%
Arnaldinho Borgo
<1%
Euclério Sampaio
<1%
Ricardo Ferraço 66%
Lorenzo Pazolini 35%
Sergio Vidigal <1%
Arnaldinho Borgo <1%
$40,613 KL.
$40,613 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
$14,561 KL.
66%
Lorenzo Pazolini
$14,170 KL.
35%
Sergio Vidigal
$3,569 KL.
<1%
Arnaldinho Borgo
$4,885 KL.
<1%
Euclério Sampaio
$3,428 KL.
<1%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, holds the strongest position in the October 4 first-round contest. Recent polls from late August and early September consistently place him in the lead with 35–42% support, ahead of main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), the former Vitória mayor, at 28–33%. Ferraço benefits from an approval rating near 76%, a broad multi-party coalition, and emphasis on fiscal continuity plus public security. Second-round simulations show him defeating Pazolini or other opponents by double-digit margins. Pazolini’s campaign has faced a minor early-campaigning fine, while lower-polling candidates such as Helder Salomão (PT) register single-digit support. Trader consensus aligns with these polling trends and the structural advantages of incumbency ahead of the October runoff window if needed.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Khối lượng
$40,613Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, holds the strongest position in the October 4 first-round contest. Recent polls from late August and early September consistently place him in the lead with 35–42% support, ahead of main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), the former Vitória mayor, at 28–33%. Ferraço benefits from an approval rating near 76%, a broad multi-party coalition, and emphasis on fiscal continuity plus public security. Second-round simulations show him defeating Pazolini or other opponents by double-digit margins. Pazolini’s campaign has faced a minor early-campaigning fine, while lower-polling candidates such as Helder Salomão (PT) register single-digit support. Trader consensus aligns with these polling trends and the structural advantages of incumbency ahead of the October runoff window if needed.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$40,613Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, holds the strongest position in the October 4 first-round contest. Recent polls from late August and early September consistently place him in the lead with 35–42% support, ahead of main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), the former Vitória mayor, at 28–33%. Ferraço benefits from an approval rating near 76%, a broad multi-party coalition, and emphasis on fiscal continuity plus public security. Second-round simulations show him defeating Pazolini or other opponents by double-digit margins. Pazolini’s campaign has faced a minor early-campaigning fine, while lower-polling candidates such as Helder Salomão (PT) register single-digit support. Trader consensus aligns with these polling trends and the structural advantages of incumbency ahead of the October runoff window if needed.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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