**Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva faces Senate confirmation hurdles for filling the Supreme Federal Court (STF) vacancy created by Justice Luís Roberto Barroso’s October 2025 retirement.** After nominating Attorney General Jorge Messias in late 2025 and formally submitting the name in April 2026, the Senate rejected the pick 42-34 on April 29—the first such defeat in over 130 years—reflecting legislative resistance and opposition strength ahead of the October 2026 general elections. Lula has since signaled plans to resubmit Messias or advance an alternative nominee, with reports indicating consideration of a female candidate to alter political dynamics. The process requires an absolute Senate majority, and ongoing executive-legislative tensions, combined with the short timeline before elections, shape trader assessments of whether an announcement will occur before any specified cutoff.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$13,084 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
June 30
19%
September 30
54%
December 31
76%
$13,084 KL.
June 30
$9,102 KL.
19%
September 30
$1,416 KL.
54%
December 31
$2,565 KL.
76%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) nominates an individual for Minister (Ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil (Supremo Tribunal Federal) by the listed date, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva faces Senate confirmation hurdles for filling the Supreme Federal Court (STF) vacancy created by Justice Luís Roberto Barroso’s October 2025 retirement.** After nominating Attorney General Jorge Messias in late 2025 and formally submitting the name in April 2026, the Senate rejected the pick 42-34 on April 29—the first such defeat in over 130 years—reflecting legislative resistance and opposition strength ahead of the October 2026 general elections. Lula has since signaled plans to resubmit Messias or advance an alternative nominee, with reports indicating consideration of a female candidate to alter political dynamics. The process requires an absolute Senate majority, and ongoing executive-legislative tensions, combined with the short timeline before elections, shape trader assessments of whether an announcement will occur before any specified cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) nominates an individual for Minister (Ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil (Supremo Tribunal Federal) by the listed date, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 2, 2026, 9:12 PM ET
Khối lượng
$13,084Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 2, 2026, 9:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) nominates an individual for Minister (Ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil (Supremo Tribunal Federal) by the listed date, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva faces Senate confirmation hurdles for filling the Supreme Federal Court (STF) vacancy created by Justice Luís Roberto Barroso’s October 2025 retirement.** After nominating Attorney General Jorge Messias in late 2025 and formally submitting the name in April 2026, the Senate rejected the pick 42-34 on April 29—the first such defeat in over 130 years—reflecting legislative resistance and opposition strength ahead of the October 2026 general elections. Lula has since signaled plans to resubmit Messias or advance an alternative nominee, with reports indicating consideration of a female candidate to alter political dynamics. The process requires an absolute Senate majority, and ongoing executive-legislative tensions, combined with the short timeline before elections, shape trader assessments of whether an announcement will occur before any specified cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) nominates an individual for Minister (Ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil (Supremo Tribunal Federal) by the listed date, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$13,084Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 2, 2026, 9:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva faces Senate confirmation hurdles for filling the Supreme Federal Court (STF) vacancy created by Justice Luís Roberto Barroso’s October 2025 retirement.** After nominating Attorney General Jorge Messias in late 2025 and formally submitting the name in April 2026, the Senate rejected the pick 42-34 on April 29—the first such defeat in over 130 years—reflecting legislative resistance and opposition strength ahead of the October 2026 general elections. Lula has since signaled plans to resubmit Messias or advance an alternative nominee, with reports indicating consideration of a female candidate to alter political dynamics. The process requires an absolute Senate majority, and ongoing executive-legislative tensions, combined with the short timeline before elections, shape trader assessments of whether an announcement will occur before any specified cutoff.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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