Recent polling from Paraná Pesquisas in mid-September shows Luciano Zucco (PL) at 36.4% and Juliana Brizola (PDT) at 31.3% in the first-round intentions, a technical tie within the margin of error, with Gabriel Souza (MDB) a distant third. Zucco has posted modest gains since earlier surveys, while the race remains competitive ahead of the October 4 vote. Market pricing positions Zucco as the clear leader at 67%, reflecting trader assessment of late-campaign dynamics, party machinery, and rejection patterns that could consolidate support in the runoff window. Souza, Maranata, and Heinze register minimal shares in both polls and implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLuciano Zucco 67%
Juliana Brizola 32%
Gabriel Souza 1.3%
Marcelo Maranata <1%
$107,493 KL.
$107,493 KL.
Oct 3, 2026
Luciano Zucco
67%
Juliana Brizola
32%
Gabriel Souza
1%
Marcelo Maranata
1%
Luis Carlos Heinze
<1%
Luciano Zucco 67%
Juliana Brizola 32%
Gabriel Souza 1.3%
Marcelo Maranata <1%
$107,493 KL.
$107,493 KL.
Oct 3, 2026
Luciano Zucco
$48,872 KL.
67%
Juliana Brizola
$37,050 KL.
32%
Gabriel Souza
$11,196 KL.
1%
Marcelo Maranata
$7,278 KL.
1%
Luis Carlos Heinze
$3,098 KL.
<1%
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Paraná Pesquisas in mid-September shows Luciano Zucco (PL) at 36.4% and Juliana Brizola (PDT) at 31.3% in the first-round intentions, a technical tie within the margin of error, with Gabriel Souza (MDB) a distant third. Zucco has posted modest gains since earlier surveys, while the race remains competitive ahead of the October 4 vote. Market pricing positions Zucco as the clear leader at 67%, reflecting trader assessment of late-campaign dynamics, party machinery, and rejection patterns that could consolidate support in the runoff window. Souza, Maranata, and Heinze register minimal shares in both polls and implied probabilities.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Khối lượng
$107,493Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Paraná Pesquisas in mid-September shows Luciano Zucco (PL) at 36.4% and Juliana Brizola (PDT) at 31.3% in the first-round intentions, a technical tie within the margin of error, with Gabriel Souza (MDB) a distant third. Zucco has posted modest gains since earlier surveys, while the race remains competitive ahead of the October 4 vote. Market pricing positions Zucco as the clear leader at 67%, reflecting trader assessment of late-campaign dynamics, party machinery, and rejection patterns that could consolidate support in the runoff window. Souza, Maranata, and Heinze register minimal shares in both polls and implied probabilities.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$107,493Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Paraná Pesquisas in mid-September shows Luciano Zucco (PL) at 36.4% and Juliana Brizola (PDT) at 31.3% in the first-round intentions, a technical tie within the margin of error, with Gabriel Souza (MDB) a distant third. Zucco has posted modest gains since earlier surveys, while the race remains competitive ahead of the October 4 vote. Market pricing positions Zucco as the clear leader at 67%, reflecting trader assessment of late-campaign dynamics, party machinery, and rejection patterns that could consolidate support in the runoff window. Souza, Maranata, and Heinze register minimal shares in both polls and implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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