The fragmented field of seven registered candidates for the October 4, 2026, Amazonas gubernatorial election has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered near even odds, reflecting the absence of a clear frontrunner after the August 15 candidacy deadline. Recent indirect election of incumbent Roberto Cidade (UNIÃO) and early polling averages showing narrow leads or ties among figures such as Maria do Carmo (PL), Omar Aziz (PSD), and David Almeida (Avante) underscore the competitive dynamics. Alliances with national parties, voter turnout in Manaus, and campaign launches in the coming weeks could consolidate support or split the vote further, while any late shifts in coalitions or polling trends among swing blocs may create separation ahead of the first round.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOmar Aziz 53%
Professora Maria do Carmo 53%
David Almeida 44%
Roberto Cidade 44%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Omar Aziz
53%
Professora Maria do Carmo
53%
David Almeida
44%
Roberto Cidade
44%
Cabo Daciolo
41%
Isael Munduruku
9%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
8%
Omar Aziz 53%
Professora Maria do Carmo 53%
David Almeida 44%
Roberto Cidade 44%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Omar Aziz
$0 KL.
53%
Professora Maria do Carmo
$0 KL.
53%
David Almeida
$0 KL.
44%
Roberto Cidade
$0 KL.
44%
Cabo Daciolo
$0 KL.
41%
Isael Munduruku
$25 KL.
9%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
$20 KL.
8%
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of seven registered candidates for the October 4, 2026, Amazonas gubernatorial election has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered near even odds, reflecting the absence of a clear frontrunner after the August 15 candidacy deadline. Recent indirect election of incumbent Roberto Cidade (UNIÃO) and early polling averages showing narrow leads or ties among figures such as Maria do Carmo (PL), Omar Aziz (PSD), and David Almeida (Avante) underscore the competitive dynamics. Alliances with national parties, voter turnout in Manaus, and campaign launches in the coming weeks could consolidate support or split the vote further, while any late shifts in coalitions or polling trends among swing blocs may create separation ahead of the first round.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$45Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of seven registered candidates for the October 4, 2026, Amazonas gubernatorial election has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered near even odds, reflecting the absence of a clear frontrunner after the August 15 candidacy deadline. Recent indirect election of incumbent Roberto Cidade (UNIÃO) and early polling averages showing narrow leads or ties among figures such as Maria do Carmo (PL), Omar Aziz (PSD), and David Almeida (Avante) underscore the competitive dynamics. Alliances with national parties, voter turnout in Manaus, and campaign launches in the coming weeks could consolidate support or split the vote further, while any late shifts in coalitions or polling trends among swing blocs may create separation ahead of the first round.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$45Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The fragmented field of seven registered candidates for the October 4, 2026, Amazonas gubernatorial election has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered near even odds, reflecting the absence of a clear frontrunner after the August 15 candidacy deadline. Recent indirect election of incumbent Roberto Cidade (UNIÃO) and early polling averages showing narrow leads or ties among figures such as Maria do Carmo (PL), Omar Aziz (PSD), and David Almeida (Avante) underscore the competitive dynamics. Alliances with national parties, voter turnout in Manaus, and campaign launches in the coming weeks could consolidate support or split the vote further, while any late shifts in coalitions or polling trends among swing blocs may create separation ahead of the first round.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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