Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following João Azevêdo’s resignation to run for the Senate, holds a commanding position in the October 4 first-round contest. Recent polls from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and others show him leading with 38–43% support in simulated first-round scenarios, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) at 18–25% and Efraim Filho (PL) at 12–21%, with remaining candidates registering minimal shares. His advantage stems from incumbency resources, party alliances including PT backing, and consistent polling strength across multiple surveys conducted through early September. Ongoing campaign events such as neighborhood walks and sector-specific interviews continue for all contenders, while a legal challenge filed by Lucena alleging improper state hiring has yet to materially alter the competitive landscape reflected in trader pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLucas Ribeiro 83%
Efraim Filho 10%
Cícero Lucena 6%
Nilvan Ferreira 1.2%
$62,653 KL.
$62,653 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Lucas Ribeiro
83%
Efraim Filho
10%
Cícero Lucena
6%
Nilvan Ferreira
1%
Flávio Lúcio
1%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
1%
Romero Rodrigues
<1%
Marcelo Queiroga
<1%
Lucas Ribeiro 83%
Efraim Filho 10%
Cícero Lucena 6%
Nilvan Ferreira 1.2%
$62,653 KL.
$62,653 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Lucas Ribeiro
$18,684 KL.
83%
Efraim Filho
$14,308 KL.
10%
Cícero Lucena
$20,569 KL.
6%
Nilvan Ferreira
$894 KL.
1%
Flávio Lúcio
$876 KL.
1%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
$2,431 KL.
1%
Romero Rodrigues
$1,511 KL.
<1%
Marcelo Queiroga
$3,381 KL.
<1%
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following João Azevêdo’s resignation to run for the Senate, holds a commanding position in the October 4 first-round contest. Recent polls from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and others show him leading with 38–43% support in simulated first-round scenarios, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) at 18–25% and Efraim Filho (PL) at 12–21%, with remaining candidates registering minimal shares. His advantage stems from incumbency resources, party alliances including PT backing, and consistent polling strength across multiple surveys conducted through early September. Ongoing campaign events such as neighborhood walks and sector-specific interviews continue for all contenders, while a legal challenge filed by Lucena alleging improper state hiring has yet to materially alter the competitive landscape reflected in trader pricing.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
Khối lượng
$62,653Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following João Azevêdo’s resignation to run for the Senate, holds a commanding position in the October 4 first-round contest. Recent polls from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and others show him leading with 38–43% support in simulated first-round scenarios, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) at 18–25% and Efraim Filho (PL) at 12–21%, with remaining candidates registering minimal shares. His advantage stems from incumbency resources, party alliances including PT backing, and consistent polling strength across multiple surveys conducted through early September. Ongoing campaign events such as neighborhood walks and sector-specific interviews continue for all contenders, while a legal challenge filed by Lucena alleging improper state hiring has yet to materially alter the competitive landscape reflected in trader pricing.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$62,653Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following João Azevêdo’s resignation to run for the Senate, holds a commanding position in the October 4 first-round contest. Recent polls from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and others show him leading with 38–43% support in simulated first-round scenarios, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) at 18–25% and Efraim Filho (PL) at 12–21%, with remaining candidates registering minimal shares. His advantage stems from incumbency resources, party alliances including PT backing, and consistent polling strength across multiple surveys conducted through early September. Ongoing campaign events such as neighborhood walks and sector-specific interviews continue for all contenders, while a legal challenge filed by Lucena alleging improper state hiring has yet to materially alter the competitive landscape reflected in trader pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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