The Paraíba gubernatorial race remains fragmented ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round, with Cícero Lucena (MDB) holding the highest implied probability after resigning as João Pessoa mayor in April to enter. Recent Real Time Big Data polling shows technical ties between Lucena and incumbent Lucas Ribeiro (PP) in first-round scenarios, alongside notable support for Veneziano Vital do Rêgo and smaller shares for Romero Rodrigues, Efraim Filho, and others. Multiple viable candidacies, shifting party alliances, and the possibility of a runoff if no candidate exceeds 50 percent keep outcomes uncertain. Trader positioning reflects this dispersion of support and limited recent catalysts capable of consolidating preferences before primaries and formal campaigning intensify.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCícero Lucena 41%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo 12.6%
Efraim Filho 12%
Nilvan Ferreira 6.3%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 5, 2026
Cícero Lucena
41%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
13%
Efraim Filho
12%
Nilvan Ferreira
6%
Marcelo Queiroga
4%
Romero Rodrigues
3%
Flávio Lúcio
2%
Cícero Lucena 41%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo 12.6%
Efraim Filho 12%
Nilvan Ferreira 6.3%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 5, 2026
Cícero Lucena
$2,374 KL.
41%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
$145 KL.
13%
Efraim Filho
$81 KL.
12%
Nilvan Ferreira
$81 KL.
6%
Marcelo Queiroga
$101 KL.
4%
Romero Rodrigues
$210 KL.
3%
Flávio Lúcio
$168 KL.
2%
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraíba gubernatorial race remains fragmented ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round, with Cícero Lucena (MDB) holding the highest implied probability after resigning as João Pessoa mayor in April to enter. Recent Real Time Big Data polling shows technical ties between Lucena and incumbent Lucas Ribeiro (PP) in first-round scenarios, alongside notable support for Veneziano Vital do Rêgo and smaller shares for Romero Rodrigues, Efraim Filho, and others. Multiple viable candidacies, shifting party alliances, and the possibility of a runoff if no candidate exceeds 50 percent keep outcomes uncertain. Trader positioning reflects this dispersion of support and limited recent catalysts capable of consolidating preferences before primaries and formal campaigning intensify.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,150Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraíba gubernatorial race remains fragmented ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round, with Cícero Lucena (MDB) holding the highest implied probability after resigning as João Pessoa mayor in April to enter. Recent Real Time Big Data polling shows technical ties between Lucena and incumbent Lucas Ribeiro (PP) in first-round scenarios, alongside notable support for Veneziano Vital do Rêgo and smaller shares for Romero Rodrigues, Efraim Filho, and others. Multiple viable candidacies, shifting party alliances, and the possibility of a runoff if no candidate exceeds 50 percent keep outcomes uncertain. Trader positioning reflects this dispersion of support and limited recent catalysts capable of consolidating preferences before primaries and formal campaigning intensify.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$3,150Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial race remains fragmented ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round, with Cícero Lucena (MDB) holding the highest implied probability after resigning as João Pessoa mayor in April to enter. Recent Real Time Big Data polling shows technical ties between Lucena and incumbent Lucas Ribeiro (PP) in first-round scenarios, alongside notable support for Veneziano Vital do Rêgo and smaller shares for Romero Rodrigues, Efraim Filho, and others. Multiple viable candidacies, shifting party alliances, and the possibility of a runoff if no candidate exceeds 50 percent keep outcomes uncertain. Trader positioning reflects this dispersion of support and limited recent catalysts capable of consolidating preferences before primaries and formal campaigning intensify.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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