Lula holds a commanding position in Piauí for first place in the October 4 first round, reflecting the state's longstanding alignment with the Workers' Party and the incumbent president's consistent leads in regional surveys exceeding 60 percent. As the Northeast remains a core base for Lula's coalition, local voter patterns and party machinery have sustained wide margins over challengers such as Flávio Bolsonaro and Ronaldo Caiado. Trader consensus prices this outcome near certainty based on historical turnout trends and limited opposition infrastructure in the state. Late-campaign shifts from national scandals, economic surprises, or unusually high abstention could still narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in recent polling.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLula 96.5%
Hertz Dias 2.8%
Rui Costa Pimenta 2.5%
Samara 2.3%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
97%
Hertz Dias
3%
Rui Costa Pimenta
3%
Samara
2%
Flavio Bolsonaro
1%
Clariana Barao
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%
Edmilson Costa
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
1%
Pablo Marçal
1%
Renan Santos
1%
Zema
1%
Lula 96.5%
Hertz Dias 2.8%
Rui Costa Pimenta 2.5%
Samara 2.3%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$1,189 KL.
97%
Hertz Dias
$91 KL.
3%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$81 KL.
3%
Samara
$91 KL.
2%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$137 KL.
1%
Clariana Barao
$137 KL.
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$81 KL.
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$81 KL.
1%
Edmilson Costa
$81 KL.
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$155 KL.
1%
Pablo Marçal
$156 KL.
1%
Renan Santos
$152 KL.
1%
Zema
$151 KL.
1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding position in Piauí for first place in the October 4 first round, reflecting the state's longstanding alignment with the Workers' Party and the incumbent president's consistent leads in regional surveys exceeding 60 percent. As the Northeast remains a core base for Lula's coalition, local voter patterns and party machinery have sustained wide margins over challengers such as Flávio Bolsonaro and Ronaldo Caiado. Trader consensus prices this outcome near certainty based on historical turnout trends and limited opposition infrastructure in the state. Late-campaign shifts from national scandals, economic surprises, or unusually high abstention could still narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in recent polling.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,585Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding position in Piauí for first place in the October 4 first round, reflecting the state's longstanding alignment with the Workers' Party and the incumbent president's consistent leads in regional surveys exceeding 60 percent. As the Northeast remains a core base for Lula's coalition, local voter patterns and party machinery have sustained wide margins over challengers such as Flávio Bolsonaro and Ronaldo Caiado. Trader consensus prices this outcome near certainty based on historical turnout trends and limited opposition infrastructure in the state. Late-campaign shifts from national scandals, economic surprises, or unusually high abstention could still narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in recent polling.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Khối lượng
$2,585Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula holds a commanding position in Piauí for first place in the October 4 first round, reflecting the state's longstanding alignment with the Workers' Party and the incumbent president's consistent leads in regional surveys exceeding 60 percent. As the Northeast remains a core base for Lula's coalition, local voter patterns and party machinery have sustained wide margins over challengers such as Flávio Bolsonaro and Ronaldo Caiado. Trader consensus prices this outcome near certainty based on historical turnout trends and limited opposition infrastructure in the state. Late-campaign shifts from national scandals, economic surprises, or unusually high abstention could still narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in recent polling.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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