With candidacy registrations closed on August 15, 2026, the Federal District Senate race features a fragmented field of over a dozen contenders vying for two seats via plurality block voting, where voters select up to two candidates. Trader odds reflect this dispersion, with Ronaldo Fonseca (PSD) and Guto Felício dos Santos (PSDB) holding the narrowest edges for second place amid polling that has variously highlighted Michelle Bolsonaro (PL), Bia Kicis (PL), and incumbent Leila Barros (PDT). Recent asset declarations and party conventions have clarified the slate without producing decisive momentum, while historical turnout patterns and cross-party alliances continue to compress probabilities. Upcoming Datafolha or Paraná Pesquisas releases, debate schedules, and any late endorsements could separate frontrunners by clarifying voter consolidation behind the top two.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtDavid Horn 27%
Avenir Rosa 25%
Erika Kokay 25%
Sebastião Coelho 25%

David Horn
27%

Avenir Rosa
25%

Erika Kokay
25%

Sebastião Coelho
25%

Bia Kicis
25%

Marley
25%

Leila do Vôlei
23%

Professor Guilherme Amorim
23%

Ronaldo Fonseca
23%

Zanata
22%

Guto Felício dos Santos
21%

Tiago
21%

Michelle Bolsonaro
21%
David Horn 27%
Avenir Rosa 25%
Erika Kokay 25%
Sebastião Coelho 25%

David Horn
27%

Avenir Rosa
25%

Erika Kokay
25%

Sebastião Coelho
25%

Bia Kicis
25%

Marley
25%

Leila do Vôlei
23%

Professor Guilherme Amorim
23%

Ronaldo Fonseca
23%

Zanata
22%

Guto Felício dos Santos
21%

Tiago
21%

Michelle Bolsonaro
21%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With candidacy registrations closed on August 15, 2026, the Federal District Senate race features a fragmented field of over a dozen contenders vying for two seats via plurality block voting, where voters select up to two candidates. Trader odds reflect this dispersion, with Ronaldo Fonseca (PSD) and Guto Felício dos Santos (PSDB) holding the narrowest edges for second place amid polling that has variously highlighted Michelle Bolsonaro (PL), Bia Kicis (PL), and incumbent Leila Barros (PDT). Recent asset declarations and party conventions have clarified the slate without producing decisive momentum, while historical turnout patterns and cross-party alliances continue to compress probabilities. Upcoming Datafolha or Paraná Pesquisas releases, debate schedules, and any late endorsements could separate frontrunners by clarifying voter consolidation behind the top two.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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