The Mato Grosso Senate race for two seats features a crowded field of ten registered candidates following the close of filings on August 15, 2026. Recent July polling showed Governor Mauro Mendes leading with consolidated support near 46%, while Janaína Riva, José Medeiros, and others trailed in the low-to-mid teens, creating a fragmented contest for second place. Trader consensus around 23–26% probabilities for several contenders reflects this split, driven by regional conservative and government-aligned factions competing without a dominant challenger emerging. The multi-candidate structure, combined with limited late-cycle polling and voter preference volatility across agricultural and urban bases, sustains the tight positioning. Upcoming campaign events or party alliances could shift second-place dynamics before the October general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJanaina Riva 39%
Jose Medeiros 27%
Galvan 26%
Mauro Mendes 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Janaina Riva
26%
Jose Medeiros
27%
Galvan
26%
Mauro Mendes
26%
Coronel Darwin
26%
Fávaro
25%
Pedro Taques
25%
Beny Godoy
24%
Margareth Buzetti
23%
Professor Nelson Ferreira
23%
Janaina Riva 39%
Jose Medeiros 27%
Galvan 26%
Mauro Mendes 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Janaina Riva
$40 KL.
26%
Jose Medeiros
$0 KL.
27%
Galvan
$0 KL.
26%
Mauro Mendes
$0 KL.
26%
Coronel Darwin
$0 KL.
26%
Fávaro
$0 KL.
25%
Pedro Taques
$0 KL.
25%
Beny Godoy
$0 KL.
24%
Margareth Buzetti
$0 KL.
23%
Professor Nelson Ferreira
$0 KL.
23%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Mato Grosso Senate race for two seats features a crowded field of ten registered candidates following the close of filings on August 15, 2026. Recent July polling showed Governor Mauro Mendes leading with consolidated support near 46%, while Janaína Riva, José Medeiros, and others trailed in the low-to-mid teens, creating a fragmented contest for second place. Trader consensus around 23–26% probabilities for several contenders reflects this split, driven by regional conservative and government-aligned factions competing without a dominant challenger emerging. The multi-candidate structure, combined with limited late-cycle polling and voter preference volatility across agricultural and urban bases, sustains the tight positioning. Upcoming campaign events or party alliances could shift second-place dynamics before the October general election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$40Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Mato Grosso Senate race for two seats features a crowded field of ten registered candidates following the close of filings on August 15, 2026. Recent July polling showed Governor Mauro Mendes leading with consolidated support near 46%, while Janaína Riva, José Medeiros, and others trailed in the low-to-mid teens, creating a fragmented contest for second place. Trader consensus around 23–26% probabilities for several contenders reflects this split, driven by regional conservative and government-aligned factions competing without a dominant challenger emerging. The multi-candidate structure, combined with limited late-cycle polling and voter preference volatility across agricultural and urban bases, sustains the tight positioning. Upcoming campaign events or party alliances could shift second-place dynamics before the October general election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$40Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Mato Grosso Senate race for two seats features a crowded field of ten registered candidates following the close of filings on August 15, 2026. Recent July polling showed Governor Mauro Mendes leading with consolidated support near 46%, while Janaína Riva, José Medeiros, and others trailed in the low-to-mid teens, creating a fragmented contest for second place. Trader consensus around 23–26% probabilities for several contenders reflects this split, driven by regional conservative and government-aligned factions competing without a dominant challenger emerging. The multi-candidate structure, combined with limited late-cycle polling and voter preference volatility across agricultural and urban bases, sustains the tight positioning. Upcoming campaign events or party alliances could shift second-place dynamics before the October general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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