The Espírito Santo Senate race for the second seat remains tightly contested due to a crowded field of more than ten candidates, with Renato Casagrande holding a clear lead in recent Quaest and Real Time Big Data polls while no single challenger has consolidated support above the low teens. Incumbents Fabiano Contarato and Marcos do Val seek reelection alongside challengers including Rose de Freitas, Sergio Meneguelli, Evair de Melo, Maguinha Malta, and others, creating a fragmented second-place battle shaped by coalition alignments, regional name recognition, and party positioning ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Trader pricing near 40-50% across multiple names reflects this uncertainty and the potential for late shifts from endorsements, turnout patterns among key voter blocs, or campaign momentum in the final weeks before ballots close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSergio Meneguelli 45%
Professor Fabian 44%
Leonardo Monjardim 44%
Marcos do Val 43%

Sergio Meneguelli
45%

Professor Fabian
44%

Leonardo Monjardim
44%

Marcos do Val
43%

Callegari
43%

Renato Casagrande
43%

Fabiano Contarato
42%

Maguinha Malta
42%

Rodney Miranda
41%

Rose de Freitas
40%

Evair de Melo
40%
Sergio Meneguelli 45%
Professor Fabian 44%
Leonardo Monjardim 44%
Marcos do Val 43%

Sergio Meneguelli
45%

Professor Fabian
44%

Leonardo Monjardim
44%

Marcos do Val
43%

Callegari
43%

Renato Casagrande
43%

Fabiano Contarato
42%

Maguinha Malta
42%

Rodney Miranda
41%

Rose de Freitas
40%

Evair de Melo
40%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo Senate race for the second seat remains tightly contested due to a crowded field of more than ten candidates, with Renato Casagrande holding a clear lead in recent Quaest and Real Time Big Data polls while no single challenger has consolidated support above the low teens. Incumbents Fabiano Contarato and Marcos do Val seek reelection alongside challengers including Rose de Freitas, Sergio Meneguelli, Evair de Melo, Maguinha Malta, and others, creating a fragmented second-place battle shaped by coalition alignments, regional name recognition, and party positioning ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Trader pricing near 40-50% across multiple names reflects this uncertainty and the potential for late shifts from endorsements, turnout patterns among key voter blocs, or campaign momentum in the final weeks before ballots close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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