Guillaume Cliche-Rivard, the incumbent Québec solidaire MNA who captured the Montreal riding in the 2023 by-election, holds the leading market position amid a projected toss-up with Liberal challenger Benoit Clermont. The urban district’s left-leaning electorate and priorities around housing, immigration, and social services favor the sitting member, whose profile includes parliamentary work on cohabitation rules and the Programme de l’expérience québécoise. Projections from 338Canada and Qc125 treat the race as closely contested between QS and PLQ, with CAQ candidate Anthony Lavoie trailing. The October 5, 2026 general election campaign, launched August 27, features a short window ending nominations on September 17, where provincial party standings, local turnout, and early ground efforts could shift trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtGuillaume Cliche-Rivard 68%
Benoit Clermont 30%
Anthony Lavoie 4.0%

Guillaume Cliche-Rivard
68%

Benoit Clermont
30%

Anthony Lavoie
4%
Guillaume Cliche-Rivard 68%
Benoit Clermont 30%
Anthony Lavoie 4.0%

Guillaume Cliche-Rivard
68%

Benoit Clermont
30%

Anthony Lavoie
4%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Guillaume Cliche-Rivard, the incumbent Québec solidaire MNA who captured the Montreal riding in the 2023 by-election, holds the leading market position amid a projected toss-up with Liberal challenger Benoit Clermont. The urban district’s left-leaning electorate and priorities around housing, immigration, and social services favor the sitting member, whose profile includes parliamentary work on cohabitation rules and the Programme de l’expérience québécoise. Projections from 338Canada and Qc125 treat the race as closely contested between QS and PLQ, with CAQ candidate Anthony Lavoie trailing. The October 5, 2026 general election campaign, launched August 27, features a short window ending nominations on September 17, where provincial party standings, local turnout, and early ground efforts could shift trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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