Recent Swedish polling ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election shows Moderaterna (M) support clustered between 16.8% and 17.7% in surveys from firms including Demoskop and Novus, with aggregated trends near 17%. This range reflects the party’s position as the largest in the incumbent right-leaning bloc that includes the Christian Democrats and Liberals and receives external support from the Sweden Democrats. Persistent strength for the Social Democrats near 30–32% and Sweden Democrats near 20% has kept pressure on M, while the Liberals remain below the 4% threshold in multiple polls, narrowing the governing bloc’s projected seat total. No major policy announcements, leadership changes, or late-campaign events have produced sustained shifts in M’s standing over the past month, leaving trader consensus centered on the 16–18% interval as the most probable outcome consistent with current survey data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật16-18% 42%
<16% 25%
18-20% 23%
20%+ 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
<16%
25%
16-18%
42%
18-20%
23%
20%+
14%
16-18% 42%
<16% 25%
18-20% 23%
20%+ 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
<16%
$302 KL.
25%
16-18%
$942 KL.
42%
18-20%
$168 KL.
23%
20%+
$324 KL.
14%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish polling ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election shows Moderaterna (M) support clustered between 16.8% and 17.7% in surveys from firms including Demoskop and Novus, with aggregated trends near 17%. This range reflects the party’s position as the largest in the incumbent right-leaning bloc that includes the Christian Democrats and Liberals and receives external support from the Sweden Democrats. Persistent strength for the Social Democrats near 30–32% and Sweden Democrats near 20% has kept pressure on M, while the Liberals remain below the 4% threshold in multiple polls, narrowing the governing bloc’s projected seat total. No major policy announcements, leadership changes, or late-campaign events have produced sustained shifts in M’s standing over the past month, leaving trader consensus centered on the 16–18% interval as the most probable outcome consistent with current survey data.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 5:43 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,736Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 5:43 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish polling ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election shows Moderaterna (M) support clustered between 16.8% and 17.7% in surveys from firms including Demoskop and Novus, with aggregated trends near 17%. This range reflects the party’s position as the largest in the incumbent right-leaning bloc that includes the Christian Democrats and Liberals and receives external support from the Sweden Democrats. Persistent strength for the Social Democrats near 30–32% and Sweden Democrats near 20% has kept pressure on M, while the Liberals remain below the 4% threshold in multiple polls, narrowing the governing bloc’s projected seat total. No major policy announcements, leadership changes, or late-campaign events have produced sustained shifts in M’s standing over the past month, leaving trader consensus centered on the 16–18% interval as the most probable outcome consistent with current survey data.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Khối lượng
$1,736Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 5:43 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Swedish polling ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election shows Moderaterna (M) support clustered between 16.8% and 17.7% in surveys from firms including Demoskop and Novus, with aggregated trends near 17%. This range reflects the party’s position as the largest in the incumbent right-leaning bloc that includes the Christian Democrats and Liberals and receives external support from the Sweden Democrats. Persistent strength for the Social Democrats near 30–32% and Sweden Democrats near 20% has kept pressure on M, while the Liberals remain below the 4% threshold in multiple polls, narrowing the governing bloc’s projected seat total. No major policy announcements, leadership changes, or late-campaign events have produced sustained shifts in M’s standing over the past month, leaving trader consensus centered on the 16–18% interval as the most probable outcome consistent with current survey data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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