Recent Swedish opinion polls place the Social Democrats (S) vote share in a narrow band around 30-32 percent ahead of the September 13 election, with the latest Demoskop survey (July 29–August 10) at 30.2 percent and prior Novus and Indikator readings between 31.3 and 32.5 percent. This positioning underpins the elevated probability on the 30-33 percent outcome, as S maintains a consistent lead as the largest opposition party while the governing bloc trails. The 27-30 percent and 33 percent-plus brackets receive meaningful support due to typical late-campaign volatility, gender and regional turnout differences, and the 4 percent threshold dynamics affecting smaller parties. No major scandals, leadership changes, or economic shocks have disrupted the trend in recent weeks, leaving trader consensus anchored to this polling cluster.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSweden Parliamentary Election: S Vote Share?
Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Vote Share?
30-33% 38%
33%+ 25%
27-30% 21%
<27% 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
<27%
10%
27-30%
21%
30-33%
38%
33%+
23%
30-33% 38%
33%+ 25%
27-30% 21%
<27% 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
<27%
$320 KL.
10%
27-30%
$133 KL.
21%
30-33%
$1,325 KL.
38%
33%+
$615 KL.
23%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls place the Social Democrats (S) vote share in a narrow band around 30-32 percent ahead of the September 13 election, with the latest Demoskop survey (July 29–August 10) at 30.2 percent and prior Novus and Indikator readings between 31.3 and 32.5 percent. This positioning underpins the elevated probability on the 30-33 percent outcome, as S maintains a consistent lead as the largest opposition party while the governing bloc trails. The 27-30 percent and 33 percent-plus brackets receive meaningful support due to typical late-campaign volatility, gender and regional turnout differences, and the 4 percent threshold dynamics affecting smaller parties. No major scandals, leadership changes, or economic shocks have disrupted the trend in recent weeks, leaving trader consensus anchored to this polling cluster.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 5:42 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,393Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 5:42 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls place the Social Democrats (S) vote share in a narrow band around 30-32 percent ahead of the September 13 election, with the latest Demoskop survey (July 29–August 10) at 30.2 percent and prior Novus and Indikator readings between 31.3 and 32.5 percent. This positioning underpins the elevated probability on the 30-33 percent outcome, as S maintains a consistent lead as the largest opposition party while the governing bloc trails. The 27-30 percent and 33 percent-plus brackets receive meaningful support due to typical late-campaign volatility, gender and regional turnout differences, and the 4 percent threshold dynamics affecting smaller parties. No major scandals, leadership changes, or economic shocks have disrupted the trend in recent weeks, leaving trader consensus anchored to this polling cluster.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Khối lượng
$2,393Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 5:42 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Swedish opinion polls place the Social Democrats (S) vote share in a narrow band around 30-32 percent ahead of the September 13 election, with the latest Demoskop survey (July 29–August 10) at 30.2 percent and prior Novus and Indikator readings between 31.3 and 32.5 percent. This positioning underpins the elevated probability on the 30-33 percent outcome, as S maintains a consistent lead as the largest opposition party while the governing bloc trails. The 27-30 percent and 33 percent-plus brackets receive meaningful support due to typical late-campaign volatility, gender and regional turnout differences, and the 4 percent threshold dynamics affecting smaller parties. No major scandals, leadership changes, or economic shocks have disrupted the trend in recent weeks, leaving trader consensus anchored to this polling cluster.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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