Trader consensus prices Republicans at 54.5% to win the Texas U.S. Senate seat amid a tight race against Democratic nominee James Talarico, who prevailed in the March 3 primary over Rep. Jasmine Crockett. The GOP primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton has intensified uncertainty, with recent polls like University of Houston's May 1 survey showing Paxton edging Cornyn 48%-45% among likely voters, while others such as Peak Insights give Cornyn a slim 47%-46% lead. Escalating negative ads and Cornyn allies' spending advantage highlight intra-party tensions; Talarico leads both in April general matchup polls (e.g., 46%-41% vs. Paxton), but Texas's GOP stronghold status and incumbency edge sustain the narrow Republican favoritism, with runoff dynamics poised to tip battleground turnout.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTexas Senate Election Winner
Texas Senate Election Winner
$201,754 KL.
$201,754 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
55%
Democrat
46%
$201,754 KL.
$201,754 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$110,979 KL.
55%
Democrat
$90,774 KL.
46%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices Republicans at 54.5% to win the Texas U.S. Senate seat amid a tight race against Democratic nominee James Talarico, who prevailed in the March 3 primary over Rep. Jasmine Crockett. The GOP primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton has intensified uncertainty, with recent polls like University of Houston's May 1 survey showing Paxton edging Cornyn 48%-45% among likely voters, while others such as Peak Insights give Cornyn a slim 47%-46% lead. Escalating negative ads and Cornyn allies' spending advantage highlight intra-party tensions; Talarico leads both in April general matchup polls (e.g., 46%-41% vs. Paxton), but Texas's GOP stronghold status and incumbency edge sustain the narrow Republican favoritism, with runoff dynamics poised to tip battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$201,754Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices Republicans at 54.5% to win the Texas U.S. Senate seat amid a tight race against Democratic nominee James Talarico, who prevailed in the March 3 primary over Rep. Jasmine Crockett. The GOP primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton has intensified uncertainty, with recent polls like University of Houston's May 1 survey showing Paxton edging Cornyn 48%-45% among likely voters, while others such as Peak Insights give Cornyn a slim 47%-46% lead. Escalating negative ads and Cornyn allies' spending advantage highlight intra-party tensions; Talarico leads both in April general matchup polls (e.g., 46%-41% vs. Paxton), but Texas's GOP stronghold status and incumbency edge sustain the narrow Republican favoritism, with runoff dynamics poised to tip battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$201,754Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Republicans at 54.5% to win the Texas U.S. Senate seat amid a tight race against Democratic nominee James Talarico, who prevailed in the March 3 primary over Rep. Jasmine Crockett. The GOP primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton has intensified uncertainty, with recent polls like University of Houston's May 1 survey showing Paxton edging Cornyn 48%-45% among likely voters, while others such as Peak Insights give Cornyn a slim 47%-46% lead. Escalating negative ads and Cornyn allies' spending advantage highlight intra-party tensions; Talarico leads both in April general matchup polls (e.g., 46%-41% vs. Paxton), but Texas's GOP stronghold status and incumbency edge sustain the narrow Republican favoritism, with runoff dynamics poised to tip battleground turnout.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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