Recent polls from July and early August 2026 show Democratic state representative James Talarico holding narrow leads or statistical ties over Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton, aligning with the market's near-even split and reflecting Talarico's edge among independents, moderates, and some non-college voters. Paxton secured the GOP nomination in a May runoff against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn with late support from President Trump, yet general-election surveys highlight his softer support among Republicans and challenges from personal controversies. Talarico's stronger fundraising and consistent momentum have kept the contest within a few points in a state where Democratic statewide wins have been rare. Upcoming debates and voter surveys on economic issues and turnout patterns could widen margins or restore parity before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTexas Senate Election Winner
Texas Senate Election Winner
$755,911 KL.
$755,911 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
James Talarico (D)
52%
Ken Paxton (R)
48%
$755,911 KL.
$755,911 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
James Talarico (D)
$362,319 KL.
52%
Ken Paxton (R)
$393,593 KL.
48%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls from July and early August 2026 show Democratic state representative James Talarico holding narrow leads or statistical ties over Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton, aligning with the market's near-even split and reflecting Talarico's edge among independents, moderates, and some non-college voters. Paxton secured the GOP nomination in a May runoff against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn with late support from President Trump, yet general-election surveys highlight his softer support among Republicans and challenges from personal controversies. Talarico's stronger fundraising and consistent momentum have kept the contest within a few points in a state where Democratic statewide wins have been rare. Upcoming debates and voter surveys on economic issues and turnout patterns could widen margins or restore parity before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$755,911Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls from July and early August 2026 show Democratic state representative James Talarico holding narrow leads or statistical ties over Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton, aligning with the market's near-even split and reflecting Talarico's edge among independents, moderates, and some non-college voters. Paxton secured the GOP nomination in a May runoff against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn with late support from President Trump, yet general-election surveys highlight his softer support among Republicans and challenges from personal controversies. Talarico's stronger fundraising and consistent momentum have kept the contest within a few points in a state where Democratic statewide wins have been rare. Upcoming debates and voter surveys on economic issues and turnout patterns could widen margins or restore parity before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$755,911Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls from July and early August 2026 show Democratic state representative James Talarico holding narrow leads or statistical ties over Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton, aligning with the market's near-even split and reflecting Talarico's edge among independents, moderates, and some non-college voters. Paxton secured the GOP nomination in a May runoff against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn with late support from President Trump, yet general-election surveys highlight his softer support among Republicans and challenges from personal controversies. Talarico's stronger fundraising and consistent momentum have kept the contest within a few points in a state where Democratic statewide wins have been rare. Upcoming debates and voter surveys on economic issues and turnout patterns could widen margins or restore parity before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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