Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 90% in the Louisiana U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's deep Republican tilt—rated Solid R by forecasters—and a weak Democratic primary field featuring low-profile candidates Nick Albares, Gary Crockett, and Jamie Davis with minimal fundraising and no polling. Incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy faces a tight GOP primary on May 16 against Rep. Julia Letlow, who leads recent polls like Quantus Insights (May 6–7: Letlow 42%, Fleming 30%, Cassidy 20%) and Fabrizio Lee (May 4–5: Letlow 32%), bolstered by Trump's January endorsement and AG Liz Murrill's April backing; Cassidy skipped a May 5 forum. Absent general election polls, historical patterns favor the GOP nominee decisively, though a primary runoff looms June 27 if no majority.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLouisiana Senate Election Winner
Louisiana Senate Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
91%
Democrat
10%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$3,655 KL.
91%
Democrat
$2,920 KL.
10%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 90% in the Louisiana U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's deep Republican tilt—rated Solid R by forecasters—and a weak Democratic primary field featuring low-profile candidates Nick Albares, Gary Crockett, and Jamie Davis with minimal fundraising and no polling. Incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy faces a tight GOP primary on May 16 against Rep. Julia Letlow, who leads recent polls like Quantus Insights (May 6–7: Letlow 42%, Fleming 30%, Cassidy 20%) and Fabrizio Lee (May 4–5: Letlow 32%), bolstered by Trump's January endorsement and AG Liz Murrill's April backing; Cassidy skipped a May 5 forum. Absent general election polls, historical patterns favor the GOP nominee decisively, though a primary runoff looms June 27 if no majority.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,575Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 90% in the Louisiana U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's deep Republican tilt—rated Solid R by forecasters—and a weak Democratic primary field featuring low-profile candidates Nick Albares, Gary Crockett, and Jamie Davis with minimal fundraising and no polling. Incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy faces a tight GOP primary on May 16 against Rep. Julia Letlow, who leads recent polls like Quantus Insights (May 6–7: Letlow 42%, Fleming 30%, Cassidy 20%) and Fabrizio Lee (May 4–5: Letlow 32%), bolstered by Trump's January endorsement and AG Liz Murrill's April backing; Cassidy skipped a May 5 forum. Absent general election polls, historical patterns favor the GOP nominee decisively, though a primary runoff looms June 27 if no majority.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$6,575Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 90% in the Louisiana U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's deep Republican tilt—rated Solid R by forecasters—and a weak Democratic primary field featuring low-profile candidates Nick Albares, Gary Crockett, and Jamie Davis with minimal fundraising and no polling. Incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy faces a tight GOP primary on May 16 against Rep. Julia Letlow, who leads recent polls like Quantus Insights (May 6–7: Letlow 42%, Fleming 30%, Cassidy 20%) and Fabrizio Lee (May 4–5: Letlow 32%), bolstered by Trump's January endorsement and AG Liz Murrill's April backing; Cassidy skipped a May 5 forum. Absent general election polls, historical patterns favor the GOP nominee decisively, though a primary runoff looms June 27 if no majority.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp