Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall holds a commanding position in the 2026 Kansas U.S. Senate race, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report amid the state's R+13 partisan lean and his 2020 victory margin of 11 points. With primaries on August 4, Marshall faces minimal GOP primary opposition from Chase LaPorte while dominating fundraising at $4.7 million cash on hand through March. Democrats' crowded nine-candidate primary—featuring state Sen. Patrick Schmidt, pastor Adam Hamilton, and veteran Noah Taylor—lacks a clear frontrunner, with top fundraisers under $200,000. Sparse early polls, like a May GQR survey showing Marshall leading Schmidt 49-45 among likely voters, reinforce trader consensus on his reelection path despite isolated hypotheticals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKansas Senate Election Winner
Kansas Senate Election Winner
$27,457 KL.
$27,457 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
84%
Democrat
17%
$27,457 KL.
$27,457 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$16,428 KL.
84%
Democrat
$11,028 KL.
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall holds a commanding position in the 2026 Kansas U.S. Senate race, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report amid the state's R+13 partisan lean and his 2020 victory margin of 11 points. With primaries on August 4, Marshall faces minimal GOP primary opposition from Chase LaPorte while dominating fundraising at $4.7 million cash on hand through March. Democrats' crowded nine-candidate primary—featuring state Sen. Patrick Schmidt, pastor Adam Hamilton, and veteran Noah Taylor—lacks a clear frontrunner, with top fundraisers under $200,000. Sparse early polls, like a May GQR survey showing Marshall leading Schmidt 49-45 among likely voters, reinforce trader consensus on his reelection path despite isolated hypotheticals.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Khối lượng
$27,457Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall holds a commanding position in the 2026 Kansas U.S. Senate race, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report amid the state's R+13 partisan lean and his 2020 victory margin of 11 points. With primaries on August 4, Marshall faces minimal GOP primary opposition from Chase LaPorte while dominating fundraising at $4.7 million cash on hand through March. Democrats' crowded nine-candidate primary—featuring state Sen. Patrick Schmidt, pastor Adam Hamilton, and veteran Noah Taylor—lacks a clear frontrunner, with top fundraisers under $200,000. Sparse early polls, like a May GQR survey showing Marshall leading Schmidt 49-45 among likely voters, reinforce trader consensus on his reelection path despite isolated hypotheticals.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$27,457Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall holds a commanding position in the 2026 Kansas U.S. Senate race, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report amid the state's R+13 partisan lean and his 2020 victory margin of 11 points. With primaries on August 4, Marshall faces minimal GOP primary opposition from Chase LaPorte while dominating fundraising at $4.7 million cash on hand through March. Democrats' crowded nine-candidate primary—featuring state Sen. Patrick Schmidt, pastor Adam Hamilton, and veteran Noah Taylor—lacks a clear frontrunner, with top fundraisers under $200,000. Sparse early polls, like a May GQR survey showing Marshall leading Schmidt 49-45 among likely voters, reinforce trader consensus on his reelection path despite isolated hypotheticals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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