Incumbent Rep. Greg Stanton (D) anchors trader consensus favoring Democrats at 83.5% odds to retain Arizona's 4th Congressional District, a Cook PVI D+4 seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Stanton won comfortably in 2024 (52.7%) and 2022 (56.1%), running unopposed in prior Democratic primaries, bolstered recently by major labor endorsements from UA, Teamsters, and others in March. A crowded Republican primary featuring Zuhdi Jasser, Elizabeth Reye, and Alex Stovall risks a fragmented field ahead of the July 21 primaries, potentially weakening the GOP nominee against Stanton's incumbency edge, though his progressive challenger Kai Newkirk adds primary uncertainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAZ-04 House Election Winner
AZ-04 House Election Winner
$13,557 KL.
$13,557 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
83%
Republican Party
16%
$13,557 KL.
$13,557 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,000 KL.
83%
Republican Party
$2,557 KL.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Greg Stanton (D) anchors trader consensus favoring Democrats at 83.5% odds to retain Arizona's 4th Congressional District, a Cook PVI D+4 seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Stanton won comfortably in 2024 (52.7%) and 2022 (56.1%), running unopposed in prior Democratic primaries, bolstered recently by major labor endorsements from UA, Teamsters, and others in March. A crowded Republican primary featuring Zuhdi Jasser, Elizabeth Reye, and Alex Stovall risks a fragmented field ahead of the July 21 primaries, potentially weakening the GOP nominee against Stanton's incumbency edge, though his progressive challenger Kai Newkirk adds primary uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Khối lượng
$13,557Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Greg Stanton (D) anchors trader consensus favoring Democrats at 83.5% odds to retain Arizona's 4th Congressional District, a Cook PVI D+4 seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Stanton won comfortably in 2024 (52.7%) and 2022 (56.1%), running unopposed in prior Democratic primaries, bolstered recently by major labor endorsements from UA, Teamsters, and others in March. A crowded Republican primary featuring Zuhdi Jasser, Elizabeth Reye, and Alex Stovall risks a fragmented field ahead of the July 21 primaries, potentially weakening the GOP nominee against Stanton's incumbency edge, though his progressive challenger Kai Newkirk adds primary uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$13,557Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Greg Stanton (D) anchors trader consensus favoring Democrats at 83.5% odds to retain Arizona's 4th Congressional District, a Cook PVI D+4 seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Stanton won comfortably in 2024 (52.7%) and 2022 (56.1%), running unopposed in prior Democratic primaries, bolstered recently by major labor endorsements from UA, Teamsters, and others in March. A crowded Republican primary featuring Zuhdi Jasser, Elizabeth Reye, and Alex Stovall risks a fragmented field ahead of the July 21 primaries, potentially weakening the GOP nominee against Stanton's incumbency edge, though his progressive challenger Kai Newkirk adds primary uncertainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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