Rafael López Aliaga holds a commanding lead in the Lima mayoral market at 74.6% amid the October 4, 2026, municipal election. Recent September polling from IEP and others shows him ahead of Carlos Bruce at roughly 20%, driven by his prior mayoral record, Renovación Popular's list structure positioning him as first regidor, and the JNE's confirmation of his candidacy despite earlier registration challenges. Bruce trails as the main alternative on Somos Perú, while most other listed candidates register minimal support. Trader pricing aligns with these trends and the short timeline to voting, though late shifts in undecided voters or turnout could still influence the final outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtRafael López Aliaga 75.4%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 20.7%
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli 3.2%
Francis James Allison Oyague 2.1%
$152,222 KL.
$152,222 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Rafael López Aliaga
75%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca
21%
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli
3%
Francis James Allison Oyague
2%
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera
2%
Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué
<1%
Rubén José Ramírez Mateo
<1%
Yehude Simón Munaro
<1%
Santiago Rosendo Abarca León
<1%
Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo
<1%
Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino
<1%
Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra
<1%
Sandro Caller Gutiérrez
<1%
Jessica Viviana Linares Romero
<1%
Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay
<1%
Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés
<1%
Flor de María Hurtado Valdez
<1%
Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar
<1%
Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza
<1%
Samuel Marcos Daza Taype
<1%
Segundo Valdez Zavala
<1%
Samir Frank Quispe Caballero
<1%
Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 75.4%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 20.7%
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli 3.2%
Francis James Allison Oyague 2.1%
$152,222 KL.
$152,222 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Rafael López Aliaga
$12,308 KL.
75%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca
$52,161 KL.
21%
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli
$5,710 KL.
3%
Francis James Allison Oyague
$19,219 KL.
2%
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera
$9,953 KL.
2%
Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué
$3,977 KL.
<1%
Rubén José Ramírez Mateo
$2,379 KL.
<1%
Yehude Simón Munaro
$5,598 KL.
<1%
Santiago Rosendo Abarca León
$1,829 KL.
<1%
Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo
$9,636 KL.
<1%
Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino
$1,727 KL.
<1%
Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra
$1,799 KL.
<1%
Sandro Caller Gutiérrez
$2,118 KL.
<1%
Jessica Viviana Linares Romero
$1,872 KL.
<1%
Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay
$2,446 KL.
<1%
Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés
$1,684 KL.
<1%
Flor de María Hurtado Valdez
$1,898 KL.
<1%
Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar
$2,479 KL.
<1%
Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza
$2,201 KL.
<1%
Samuel Marcos Daza Taype
$3,969 KL.
<1%
Segundo Valdez Zavala
$1,769 KL.
<1%
Samir Frank Quispe Caballero
$2,073 KL.
<1%
Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega
$3,416 KL.
<1%
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).Rafael López Aliaga holds a commanding lead in the Lima mayoral market at 74.6% amid the October 4, 2026, municipal election. Recent September polling from IEP and others shows him ahead of Carlos Bruce at roughly 20%, driven by his prior mayoral record, Renovación Popular's list structure positioning him as first regidor, and the JNE's confirmation of his candidacy despite earlier registration challenges. Bruce trails as the main alternative on Somos Perú, while most other listed candidates register minimal support. Trader pricing aligns with these trends and the short timeline to voting, though late shifts in undecided voters or turnout could still influence the final outcome.
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Thị trường mở: Jul 24, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
Khối lượng
$152,222Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 24, 2026, 11:54 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).Rafael López Aliaga holds a commanding lead in the Lima mayoral market at 74.6% amid the October 4, 2026, municipal election. Recent September polling from IEP and others shows him ahead of Carlos Bruce at roughly 20%, driven by his prior mayoral record, Renovación Popular's list structure positioning him as first regidor, and the JNE's confirmation of his candidacy despite earlier registration challenges. Bruce trails as the main alternative on Somos Perú, while most other listed candidates register minimal support. Trader pricing aligns with these trends and the short timeline to voting, though late shifts in undecided voters or turnout could still influence the final outcome.
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Khối lượng
$152,222Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 24, 2026, 11:54 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Rafael López Aliaga holds a commanding lead in the Lima mayoral market at 74.6% amid the October 4, 2026, municipal election. Recent September polling from IEP and others shows him ahead of Carlos Bruce at roughly 20%, driven by his prior mayoral record, Renovación Popular's list structure positioning him as first regidor, and the JNE's confirmation of his candidacy despite earlier registration challenges. Bruce trails as the main alternative on Somos Perú, while most other listed candidates register minimal support. Trader pricing aligns with these trends and the short timeline to voting, though late shifts in undecided voters or turnout could still influence the final outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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