The closely contested MO-02 Democratic primary on August 4 features Tim Bilash, Joan VonDras, and Fred Wellman after Nick Vivio and others withdrew following the March 31 filing deadline. Wellman holds a fundraising and endorsement edge, including from the Missouri AFL-CIO, while VonDras has self-funded significantly and Bilash brings a physician background. Limited public polling, an open primary system, and the candidates' focus on suburban St. Louis issues keep probabilities balanced according to trader consensus. A late candidate forum, additional endorsements, or shifts in cash-on-hand reports could separate the field before ballots are cast.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFred Wellman 74%
Joan VonDras 44%
Tim Bilash 40%
Nick Vivio 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 4, 2026
Fred Wellman
74%
Joan VonDras
44%
Tim Bilash
40%
Nick Vivio
40%
Fred Wellman 74%
Joan VonDras 44%
Tim Bilash 40%
Nick Vivio 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 4, 2026
Fred Wellman
$0 KL.
74%
Joan VonDras
$0 KL.
44%
Tim Bilash
$0 KL.
40%
Nick Vivio
$0 KL.
40%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The closely contested MO-02 Democratic primary on August 4 features Tim Bilash, Joan VonDras, and Fred Wellman after Nick Vivio and others withdrew following the March 31 filing deadline. Wellman holds a fundraising and endorsement edge, including from the Missouri AFL-CIO, while VonDras has self-funded significantly and Bilash brings a physician background. Limited public polling, an open primary system, and the candidates' focus on suburban St. Louis issues keep probabilities balanced according to trader consensus. A late candidate forum, additional endorsements, or shifts in cash-on-hand reports could separate the field before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Jul 7, 2026, 7:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 7, 2026, 7:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The closely contested MO-02 Democratic primary on August 4 features Tim Bilash, Joan VonDras, and Fred Wellman after Nick Vivio and others withdrew following the March 31 filing deadline. Wellman holds a fundraising and endorsement edge, including from the Missouri AFL-CIO, while VonDras has self-funded significantly and Bilash brings a physician background. Limited public polling, an open primary system, and the candidates' focus on suburban St. Louis issues keep probabilities balanced according to trader consensus. A late candidate forum, additional endorsements, or shifts in cash-on-hand reports could separate the field before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 7, 2026, 7:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested MO-02 Democratic primary on August 4 features Tim Bilash, Joan VonDras, and Fred Wellman after Nick Vivio and others withdrew following the March 31 filing deadline. Wellman holds a fundraising and endorsement edge, including from the Missouri AFL-CIO, while VonDras has self-funded significantly and Bilash brings a physician background. Limited public polling, an open primary system, and the candidates' focus on suburban St. Louis issues keep probabilities balanced according to trader consensus. A late candidate forum, additional endorsements, or shifts in cash-on-hand reports could separate the field before ballots are cast.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp