Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Adam Hamilton at 86% implied probability to win the Kansas Democratic Senate primary on August 4, driven by his late April 30 entry as founding pastor of the nation's largest United Methodist church, granting unmatched name recognition among voters in a crowded field of over 10 candidates. His campaign reported raising over $1 million from 6,700 small donors in the first week, eclipsing prior Q1 leaders like state Sen. Patrick Schmidt ($129,583 cash on hand as of March 31) and Sandy Spidel Neumann ($38,110 cash), fueling perceptions of organizational strength and broad appeal as an independent-minded Democrat. Absent public primary polls, traders price in Hamilton's momentum against lower-profile challengers, though the June 1 filing deadline and potential endorsements could influence the race.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Adam Hamilton 86%
Patrick Schmidt 3.6%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 3.3%
Sharice Davids 1.3%
$128,238 KL.
$128,238 KL.
Adam Hamilton
86%
Patrick Schmidt
4%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
3%
Sharice Davids
1%
Kevin Latz
1%
Christy Davis
<1%
Michael Soetaert
<1%
Damon Anderson
<1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
Erik Murray
<1%
Jason Hart
<1%
Noah Taylor
<1%
Adam Hamilton 86%
Patrick Schmidt 3.6%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 3.3%
Sharice Davids 1.3%
$128,238 KL.
$128,238 KL.
Adam Hamilton
86%
Patrick Schmidt
4%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
3%
Sharice Davids
1%
Kevin Latz
1%
Christy Davis
<1%
Michael Soetaert
<1%
Damon Anderson
<1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
Erik Murray
<1%
Jason Hart
<1%
Noah Taylor
<1%
If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Thị trường mở: Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Adam Hamilton at 86% implied probability to win the Kansas Democratic Senate primary on August 4, driven by his late April 30 entry as founding pastor of the nation's largest United Methodist church, granting unmatched name recognition among voters in a crowded field of over 10 candidates. His campaign reported raising over $1 million from 6,700 small donors in the first week, eclipsing prior Q1 leaders like state Sen. Patrick Schmidt ($129,583 cash on hand as of March 31) and Sandy Spidel Neumann ($38,110 cash), fueling perceptions of organizational strength and broad appeal as an independent-minded Democrat. Absent public primary polls, traders price in Hamilton's momentum against lower-profile challengers, though the June 1 filing deadline and potential endorsements could influence the race.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp