Adam Hamilton leads the August 4, 2026, Kansas Democratic Senate primary with strong trader support due to his late-April announcement as a prominent United Methodist pastor, rapid fundraising exceeding $1 million in the first week, and statewide name recognition that outpaces lesser-known rivals. Other declared candidates, including Damon Anderson, Christy Davis, Erik Murray, Jason Hart, and several others, remain in the field but have shown limited public momentum or financial traction so far. The race occurs in a solidly Republican general-election environment against incumbent Sen. Roger Marshall, making the Democratic nomination a lower-stakes contest where early organizational and donor advantages heavily shape current implied probabilities. No major late developments have altered the field since Hamilton’s entry.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAdam Hamilton 73%
Christy Davis 8.6%
Noah Taylor 3.9%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 3.3%
$140,107 KL.
$140,107 KL.
Adam Hamilton
73%
Christy Davis
9%
Noah Taylor
4%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
3%
Damon Anderson
3%
Erik Murray
3%
Patrick Schmidt
2%
Sharice Davids
2%
Jason Hart
2%
Kevin Latz
<1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
Michael Soetaert
<1%
Adam Hamilton 73%
Christy Davis 8.6%
Noah Taylor 3.9%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 3.3%
$140,107 KL.
$140,107 KL.
Adam Hamilton
73%
Christy Davis
9%
Noah Taylor
4%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
3%
Damon Anderson
3%
Erik Murray
3%
Patrick Schmidt
2%
Sharice Davids
2%
Jason Hart
2%
Kevin Latz
<1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
Michael Soetaert
<1%
If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Thị trường mở: Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adam Hamilton leads the August 4, 2026, Kansas Democratic Senate primary with strong trader support due to his late-April announcement as a prominent United Methodist pastor, rapid fundraising exceeding $1 million in the first week, and statewide name recognition that outpaces lesser-known rivals. Other declared candidates, including Damon Anderson, Christy Davis, Erik Murray, Jason Hart, and several others, remain in the field but have shown limited public momentum or financial traction so far. The race occurs in a solidly Republican general-election environment against incumbent Sen. Roger Marshall, making the Democratic nomination a lower-stakes contest where early organizational and donor advantages heavily shape current implied probabilities. No major late developments have altered the field since Hamilton’s entry.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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