The extremely close June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez has produced a statistical tie in partial results, with roughly 95 percent of ballots counted and margins under 0.2 percentage points as rural and Andean votes continue to offset Fujimori’s urban and coastal strength. Regional divides, polarized voter blocs, and a large share of contested ballots processed by special electoral juries sustain uncertainty over the final tally expected by July. Trader pricing concentrates on narrow Fujimori victory brackets because remaining counts and any recounts could still shift the outcome by fractions of a point while Sánchez’s current slim edge remains vulnerable to late urban or coastal adjustments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPeru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)
Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)
Fujimori 0.2–0.3% 34%
Fujimori 0.3–0.4% 23%
Fujimori 0.1–0.2% 20%
Fujimori 0–0.1% 20%
MỚI
$251,032 KL.
MỚI
$251,032 KL.
Fujimori 1%+
<1%
Fujimori 0.9–1.0%
<1%
Fujimori 0.8–0.9%
<1%
Fujimori 0.7–0.8%
<1%
Fujimori 0.6–0.7%
<1%
Fujimori 0.5–0.6%
<1%
Fujimori 0.4–0.5%
5%
Fujimori 0.3–0.4%
23%
Fujimori 0.2–0.3%
34%
Fujimori 0.1–0.2%
20%
Fujimori 0–0.1%
20%
Sánchez 0–0.1%
4%
Sánchez 0.1–0.2%
<1%
Sánchez 0.2–0.3%
<1%
Sánchez 0.3–0.4%
1%
Sánchez 0.4–0.5%
<1%
Sánchez 0.5–0.6%
<1%
Sánchez 0.6–0.7%
<1%
Sánchez 0.7–0.8%
<1%
Sánchez 0.8–0.9%
<1%
Sánchez 0.9–1.0%
<1%
Sánchez 1%+
<1%
Other
<1%
Fujimori 0.2–0.3% 34%
Fujimori 0.3–0.4% 23%
Fujimori 0.1–0.2% 20%
Fujimori 0–0.1% 20%
MỚI
$251,032 KL.
MỚI
$251,032 KL.
Fujimori 1%+
$6,384 KL.
<1%
Fujimori 0.9–1.0%
$3,929 KL.
<1%
Fujimori 0.8–0.9%
$3,400 KL.
<1%
Fujimori 0.7–0.8%
$5,255 KL.
<1%
Fujimori 0.6–0.7%
$4,555 KL.
<1%
Fujimori 0.5–0.6%
$4,661 KL.
<1%
Fujimori 0.4–0.5%
$21,115 KL.
5%
Fujimori 0.3–0.4%
$35,370 KL.
23%
Fujimori 0.2–0.3%
$18,352 KL.
34%
Fujimori 0.1–0.2%
$24,231 KL.
20%
Fujimori 0–0.1%
$33,647 KL.
20%
Sánchez 0–0.1%
$14,487 KL.
4%
Sánchez 0.1–0.2%
$11,476 KL.
<1%
Sánchez 0.2–0.3%
$9,985 KL.
<1%
Sánchez 0.3–0.4%
$7,746 KL.
1%
Sánchez 0.4–0.5%
$6,786 KL.
<1%
Sánchez 0.5–0.6%
$6,153 KL.
<1%
Sánchez 0.6–0.7%
$6,934 KL.
<1%
Sánchez 0.7–0.8%
$9,593 KL.
<1%
Sánchez 0.8–0.9%
$4,756 KL.
<1%
Sánchez 0.9–1.0%
$4,631 KL.
<1%
Sánchez 1%+
$4,525 KL.
<1%
Other
$6,649 KL.
<1%
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The extremely close June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez has produced a statistical tie in partial results, with roughly 95 percent of ballots counted and margins under 0.2 percentage points as rural and Andean votes continue to offset Fujimori’s urban and coastal strength. Regional divides, polarized voter blocs, and a large share of contested ballots processed by special electoral juries sustain uncertainty over the final tally expected by July. Trader pricing concentrates on narrow Fujimori victory brackets because remaining counts and any recounts could still shift the outcome by fractions of a point while Sánchez’s current slim edge remains vulnerable to late urban or coastal adjustments.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Thị trường mở: Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ET
Khối lượng
$251,032Thị trường mở
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The extremely close June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez has produced a statistical tie in partial results, with roughly 95 percent of ballots counted and margins under 0.2 percentage points as rural and Andean votes continue to offset Fujimori’s urban and coastal strength. Regional divides, polarized voter blocs, and a large share of contested ballots processed by special electoral juries sustain uncertainty over the final tally expected by July. Trader pricing concentrates on narrow Fujimori victory brackets because remaining counts and any recounts could still shift the outcome by fractions of a point while Sánchez’s current slim edge remains vulnerable to late urban or coastal adjustments.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Khối lượng
$251,032Thị trường mở
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The extremely close June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez has produced a statistical tie in partial results, with roughly 95 percent of ballots counted and margins under 0.2 percentage points as rural and Andean votes continue to offset Fujimori’s urban and coastal strength. Regional divides, polarized voter blocs, and a large share of contested ballots processed by special electoral juries sustain uncertainty over the final tally expected by July. Trader pricing concentrates on narrow Fujimori victory brackets because remaining counts and any recounts could still shift the outcome by fractions of a point while Sánchez’s current slim edge remains vulnerable to late urban or coastal adjustments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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