Labour's Andy Burnham holds a narrow lead in recent polling for the 18 June Makerfield by-election, driven by his profile as Greater Manchester mayor and selection to position him for a potential party leadership challenge. Reform UK's local candidate Robert Kenyon, a plumber from the constituency, has mounted a competitive challenge on issues including immigration and local identity, though trailing slightly in surveys such as Survation's late-May poll. A recent BBC candidate debate highlighted the head-to-head between the two frontrunners, with other parties including the Conservatives, Greens, Liberal Democrats, and Restore Britain's Rebecca Shepherd polling well behind. This positioning underpins trader consensus that Kenyon is the clear second-place contender ahead of the vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtRobert Kenyon 83%
Andy Burnham 7.1%
Rebecca Shepherd 5.5%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$56,354 KL.
$56,354 KL.
Jun 18, 2026
Robert Kenyon
83%
Andy Burnham
7%
Rebecca Shepherd
6%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
John Skipworth
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
Robert Kenyon 83%
Andy Burnham 7.1%
Rebecca Shepherd 5.5%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$56,354 KL.
$56,354 KL.
Jun 18, 2026
Robert Kenyon
$4,401 KL.
83%
Andy Burnham
$2,687 KL.
7%
Rebecca Shepherd
$45,062 KL.
6%
Simon Finkelstein
$1,369 KL.
<1%
John Skipworth
$1,074 KL.
<1%
Maria Deery
$740 KL.
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
$1,021 KL.
<1%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Labour's Andy Burnham holds a narrow lead in recent polling for the 18 June Makerfield by-election, driven by his profile as Greater Manchester mayor and selection to position him for a potential party leadership challenge. Reform UK's local candidate Robert Kenyon, a plumber from the constituency, has mounted a competitive challenge on issues including immigration and local identity, though trailing slightly in surveys such as Survation's late-May poll. A recent BBC candidate debate highlighted the head-to-head between the two frontrunners, with other parties including the Conservatives, Greens, Liberal Democrats, and Restore Britain's Rebecca Shepherd polling well behind. This positioning underpins trader consensus that Kenyon is the clear second-place contender ahead of the vote.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Thị trường mở: May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
Khối lượng
$56,354Ngày kết thúc
Jun 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Labour's Andy Burnham holds a narrow lead in recent polling for the 18 June Makerfield by-election, driven by his profile as Greater Manchester mayor and selection to position him for a potential party leadership challenge. Reform UK's local candidate Robert Kenyon, a plumber from the constituency, has mounted a competitive challenge on issues including immigration and local identity, though trailing slightly in surveys such as Survation's late-May poll. A recent BBC candidate debate highlighted the head-to-head between the two frontrunners, with other parties including the Conservatives, Greens, Liberal Democrats, and Restore Britain's Rebecca Shepherd polling well behind. This positioning underpins trader consensus that Kenyon is the clear second-place contender ahead of the vote.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Khối lượng
$56,354Ngày kết thúc
Jun 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Labour's Andy Burnham holds a narrow lead in recent polling for the 18 June Makerfield by-election, driven by his profile as Greater Manchester mayor and selection to position him for a potential party leadership challenge. Reform UK's local candidate Robert Kenyon, a plumber from the constituency, has mounted a competitive challenge on issues including immigration and local identity, though trailing slightly in surveys such as Survation's late-May poll. A recent BBC candidate debate highlighted the head-to-head between the two frontrunners, with other parties including the Conservatives, Greens, Liberal Democrats, and Restore Britain's Rebecca Shepherd polling well behind. This positioning underpins trader consensus that Kenyon is the clear second-place contender ahead of the vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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