Recent Survation polling places Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd at around 8% in the Makerfield by-election, two points below the 10% threshold, with the contest set for 18 June. Reform UK has intensified efforts to consolidate right-wing support and limit vote splitting ahead of polling day, narrowing the window for further gains. Restore Britain, led by Rupert Lowe, remains a relatively new party drawing from similar voter pools as Reform, but lacks evidence of momentum sufficient to close the gap in the final days. Trader consensus reflects these measured polling levels and tactical dynamics rather than broader national trends.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMakerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 18, 2026
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 18, 2026
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent Survation polling places Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd at around 8% in the Makerfield by-election, two points below the 10% threshold, with the contest set for 18 June. Reform UK has intensified efforts to consolidate right-wing support and limit vote splitting ahead of polling day, narrowing the window for further gains. Restore Britain, led by Rupert Lowe, remains a relatively new party drawing from similar voter pools as Reform, but lacks evidence of momentum sufficient to close the gap in the final days. Trader consensus reflects these measured polling levels and tactical dynamics rather than broader national trends.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Thị trường mở: Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,956Ngày kết thúc
Jun 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent Survation polling places Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd at around 8% in the Makerfield by-election, two points below the 10% threshold, with the contest set for 18 June. Reform UK has intensified efforts to consolidate right-wing support and limit vote splitting ahead of polling day, narrowing the window for further gains. Restore Britain, led by Rupert Lowe, remains a relatively new party drawing from similar voter pools as Reform, but lacks evidence of momentum sufficient to close the gap in the final days. Trader consensus reflects these measured polling levels and tactical dynamics rather than broader national trends.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Khối lượng
$3,956Ngày kết thúc
Jun 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Survation polling places Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd at around 8% in the Makerfield by-election, two points below the 10% threshold, with the contest set for 18 June. Reform UK has intensified efforts to consolidate right-wing support and limit vote splitting ahead of polling day, narrowing the window for further gains. Restore Britain, led by Rupert Lowe, remains a relatively new party drawing from similar voter pools as Reform, but lacks evidence of momentum sufficient to close the gap in the final days. Trader consensus reflects these measured polling levels and tactical dynamics rather than broader national trends.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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