Ruling Civil Contract party, led by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, dominates trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability to win Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting consistent polling leads and opposition fragmentation. The latest EVN Report/ArmES survey (April 1–May 2) shows Civil Contract at 32.5% base vote intention, projected to 40.7–51.1% as 47% of 39.5% non-committed voters lean incumbent amid improved perceptions of economy (41.7% better), security (53.8% improved), and Pashinyan approval (49%). Strong Armenia trails at 10.1%, consolidating some anti-Pashinyan support but declining slightly; Armenia Alliance (4.4%), Prosperous Armenia (3.4%), and others stagnate below 4–8% entry thresholds. Campaign launched May 8 with active events, though opposition alleges interference; no major shifts in past week.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCivil Contract 89%
Strong Armenia 11.2%
Armenia Alliance <1%
Prosperous Armenia <1%
$184,468 KL.
$184,468 KL.
Jun 7, 2026
Civil Contract
89%
Strong Armenia
11%
Armenia Alliance
<1%
Prosperous Armenia
<1%
I Have Honor Alliance
<1%
Armenian National Congress
<1%
Bright Armenia
<1%
Hanrapetutyun Party
<1%
Heritage
<1%
Orinats Yerkir
<1%
Civil Contract 89%
Strong Armenia 11.2%
Armenia Alliance <1%
Prosperous Armenia <1%
$184,468 KL.
$184,468 KL.
Jun 7, 2026
Civil Contract
$57,017 KL.
89%
Strong Armenia
$9,173 KL.
11%
Armenia Alliance
$57,303 KL.
<1%
Prosperous Armenia
$9,941 KL.
<1%
I Have Honor Alliance
$7,527 KL.
<1%
Armenian National Congress
$9,056 KL.
<1%
Bright Armenia
$7,934 KL.
<1%
Hanrapetutyun Party
$8,059 KL.
<1%
Heritage
$8,430 KL.
<1%
Orinats Yerkir
$10,028 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Ruling Civil Contract party, led by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, dominates trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability to win Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting consistent polling leads and opposition fragmentation. The latest EVN Report/ArmES survey (April 1–May 2) shows Civil Contract at 32.5% base vote intention, projected to 40.7–51.1% as 47% of 39.5% non-committed voters lean incumbent amid improved perceptions of economy (41.7% better), security (53.8% improved), and Pashinyan approval (49%). Strong Armenia trails at 10.1%, consolidating some anti-Pashinyan support but declining slightly; Armenia Alliance (4.4%), Prosperous Armenia (3.4%), and others stagnate below 4–8% entry thresholds. Campaign launched May 8 with active events, though opposition alleges interference; no major shifts in past week.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
Khối lượng
$184,468Ngày kết thúc
Jun 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Ruling Civil Contract party, led by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, dominates trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability to win Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting consistent polling leads and opposition fragmentation. The latest EVN Report/ArmES survey (April 1–May 2) shows Civil Contract at 32.5% base vote intention, projected to 40.7–51.1% as 47% of 39.5% non-committed voters lean incumbent amid improved perceptions of economy (41.7% better), security (53.8% improved), and Pashinyan approval (49%). Strong Armenia trails at 10.1%, consolidating some anti-Pashinyan support but declining slightly; Armenia Alliance (4.4%), Prosperous Armenia (3.4%), and others stagnate below 4–8% entry thresholds. Campaign launched May 8 with active events, though opposition alleges interference; no major shifts in past week.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Khối lượng
$184,468Ngày kết thúc
Jun 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ruling Civil Contract party, led by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, dominates trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability to win Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting consistent polling leads and opposition fragmentation. The latest EVN Report/ArmES survey (April 1–May 2) shows Civil Contract at 32.5% base vote intention, projected to 40.7–51.1% as 47% of 39.5% non-committed voters lean incumbent amid improved perceptions of economy (41.7% better), security (53.8% improved), and Pashinyan approval (49%). Strong Armenia trails at 10.1%, consolidating some anti-Pashinyan support but declining slightly; Armenia Alliance (4.4%), Prosperous Armenia (3.4%), and others stagnate below 4–8% entry thresholds. Campaign launched May 8 with active events, though opposition alleges interference; no major shifts in past week.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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