Recent polling from early May, including a Public Policy Polling survey showing Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leading Rep. Angie Craig by 11 points (44%-33%) among likely Democratic primary voters, has solidified trader consensus around Flanagan as the frontrunner at 80.5% implied probability for the August 11 Minnesota U.S. Senate Democratic primary. Flanagan's dominance stems from winning over 90% of delegates at statewide DFL unit conventions in April and her position to secure the party endorsement this month, channeling support in the open seat race following Sen. Tina Smith's 2025 retirement announcement. Craig holds second at 16.5% buoyed by prior fundraising edges, while other incumbents like Reps. Ilhan Omar and Betty McCollum register under 1%, as the field consolidates behind the top two ahead of summer campaigning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMinnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Peggy Flanagan 81%
Angie Craig 17%
Betty McCollum <1%
Jacob Frey <1%
$47,040 KL.
$47,040 KL.
Peggy Flanagan
81%
Angie Craig
17%
Betty McCollum
<1%
Jacob Frey
<1%
Ilhan Omar
<1%
Melisa López Franzen
<1%
Keith Ellison
<1%
Steve Simon
<1%
Melisa Hortman
<1%
David Wellstone
<1%
Peggy Flanagan 81%
Angie Craig 17%
Betty McCollum <1%
Jacob Frey <1%
$47,040 KL.
$47,040 KL.
Peggy Flanagan
81%
Angie Craig
17%
Betty McCollum
<1%
Jacob Frey
<1%
Ilhan Omar
<1%
Melisa López Franzen
<1%
Keith Ellison
<1%
Steve Simon
<1%
Melisa Hortman
<1%
David Wellstone
<1%
If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Thị trường mở: Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from early May, including a Public Policy Polling survey showing Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leading Rep. Angie Craig by 11 points (44%-33%) among likely Democratic primary voters, has solidified trader consensus around Flanagan as the frontrunner at 80.5% implied probability for the August 11 Minnesota U.S. Senate Democratic primary. Flanagan's dominance stems from winning over 90% of delegates at statewide DFL unit conventions in April and her position to secure the party endorsement this month, channeling support in the open seat race following Sen. Tina Smith's 2025 retirement announcement. Craig holds second at 16.5% buoyed by prior fundraising edges, while other incumbents like Reps. Ilhan Omar and Betty McCollum register under 1%, as the field consolidates behind the top two ahead of summer campaigning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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