The Democratic primary for Colorado’s 1st Congressional District pits 15-term incumbent Diana DeGette against progressive challenger Melat Kiros and third candidate Wanda James on June 30. Recent assembly results gave Kiros a strong 67-33 endorsement edge, while a late Data for Progress poll showed her leading DeGette 41-36 among likely primary voters. These developments, combined with Kiros’s Bernie Sanders endorsement and focus on healthcare, housing, and foreign policy contrasts, have narrowed what was once viewed as a comfortable incumbent advantage and produced a fragmented field. The distribution of market probabilities across narrow Kiros and DeGette margin bands, alongside elevated “Other” pricing, reflects trader assessment that late voter turnout, undecided shares, and any James vote split could produce separation or keep the outcome within a few points.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
CO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
Kiros 10–15% 41%
Kiros 20%+ 40%
Kiros 5–10% 39%
Kiros <5% 37%
MỚI
MỚI
Kiros 20%+
40%
Kiros 15–20%
31%
Kiros 10–15%
41%
Kiros 5–10%
39%
Kiros <5%
37%
DeGette <5%
22%
DeGette 5%+
17%
Other
20%
Kiros 10–15% 41%
Kiros 20%+ 40%
Kiros 5–10% 39%
Kiros <5% 37%
MỚI
MỚI
Kiros 20%+
$58 KL.
40%
Kiros 15–20%
$45 KL.
31%
Kiros 10–15%
$43 KL.
41%
Kiros 5–10%
$49 KL.
39%
Kiros <5%
$87 KL.
37%
DeGette <5%
$86 KL.
22%
DeGette 5%+
$86 KL.
17%
Other
$20 KL.
20%
The Colorado Democratic primary elections are scheduled for June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the C0-01 Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Democratic primary for Colorado’s 1st Congressional District pits 15-term incumbent Diana DeGette against progressive challenger Melat Kiros and third candidate Wanda James on June 30. Recent assembly results gave Kiros a strong 67-33 endorsement edge, while a late Data for Progress poll showed her leading DeGette 41-36 among likely primary voters. These developments, combined with Kiros’s Bernie Sanders endorsement and focus on healthcare, housing, and foreign policy contrasts, have narrowed what was once viewed as a comfortable incumbent advantage and produced a fragmented field. The distribution of market probabilities across narrow Kiros and DeGette margin bands, alongside elevated “Other” pricing, reflects trader assessment that late voter turnout, undecided shares, and any James vote split could produce separation or keep the outcome within a few points.
The Colorado Democratic primary elections are scheduled for June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the C0-01 Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the C0-01 Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Thị trường mở: Jun 30, 2026, 11:16 AM ET
Khối lượng
$474Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 11:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Colorado Democratic primary elections are scheduled for June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the C0-01 Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Democratic primary for Colorado’s 1st Congressional District pits 15-term incumbent Diana DeGette against progressive challenger Melat Kiros and third candidate Wanda James on June 30. Recent assembly results gave Kiros a strong 67-33 endorsement edge, while a late Data for Progress poll showed her leading DeGette 41-36 among likely primary voters. These developments, combined with Kiros’s Bernie Sanders endorsement and focus on healthcare, housing, and foreign policy contrasts, have narrowed what was once viewed as a comfortable incumbent advantage and produced a fragmented field. The distribution of market probabilities across narrow Kiros and DeGette margin bands, alongside elevated “Other” pricing, reflects trader assessment that late voter turnout, undecided shares, and any James vote split could produce separation or keep the outcome within a few points.
The Colorado Democratic primary elections are scheduled for June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the C0-01 Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the C0-01 Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Khối lượng
$474Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 11:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Democratic primary for Colorado’s 1st Congressional District pits 15-term incumbent Diana DeGette against progressive challenger Melat Kiros and third candidate Wanda James on June 30. Recent assembly results gave Kiros a strong 67-33 endorsement edge, while a late Data for Progress poll showed her leading DeGette 41-36 among likely primary voters. These developments, combined with Kiros’s Bernie Sanders endorsement and focus on healthcare, housing, and foreign policy contrasts, have narrowed what was once viewed as a comfortable incumbent advantage and produced a fragmented field. The distribution of market probabilities across narrow Kiros and DeGette margin bands, alongside elevated “Other” pricing, reflects trader assessment that late voter turnout, undecided shares, and any James vote split could produce separation or keep the outcome within a few points.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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