Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Likud projected at 21–23 seats, down sharply from its current 32 (or 36 including the New Hope merger). Multiple surveys from mid-August, including those by Maariv, Channel 13, and Zman Yisrael, place the party behind or tied with Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar and reflect a broader weakening of Netanyahu’s right-wing coalition bloc to around 48–52 seats. Contributing factors include sustained voter fatigue after the judicial overhaul push, security challenges since October 2023, internal Likud primary disputes over candidate slots, and rising support for opposition alternatives emphasizing different security and governance priorities. These trends have produced a trader consensus reflected in the elevated probability for Likud seat losses.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật86% khả năng
$10,901 KL.
$10,901 KL.
Oct 27, 2026
86% khả năng
$10,901 KL.
$10,901 KL.
Oct 27, 2026
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Likud projected at 21–23 seats, down sharply from its current 32 (or 36 including the New Hope merger). Multiple surveys from mid-August, including those by Maariv, Channel 13, and Zman Yisrael, place the party behind or tied with Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar and reflect a broader weakening of Netanyahu’s right-wing coalition bloc to around 48–52 seats. Contributing factors include sustained voter fatigue after the judicial overhaul push, security challenges since October 2023, internal Likud primary disputes over candidate slots, and rising support for opposition alternatives emphasizing different security and governance priorities. These trends have produced a trader consensus reflected in the elevated probability for Likud seat losses.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Thị trường mở: Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Khối lượng
$10,901Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Likud projected at 21–23 seats, down sharply from its current 32 (or 36 including the New Hope merger). Multiple surveys from mid-August, including those by Maariv, Channel 13, and Zman Yisrael, place the party behind or tied with Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar and reflect a broader weakening of Netanyahu’s right-wing coalition bloc to around 48–52 seats. Contributing factors include sustained voter fatigue after the judicial overhaul push, security challenges since October 2023, internal Likud primary disputes over candidate slots, and rising support for opposition alternatives emphasizing different security and governance priorities. These trends have produced a trader consensus reflected in the elevated probability for Likud seat losses.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Khối lượng
$10,901Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Likud projected at 21–23 seats, down sharply from its current 32 (or 36 including the New Hope merger). Multiple surveys from mid-August, including those by Maariv, Channel 13, and Zman Yisrael, place the party behind or tied with Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar and reflect a broader weakening of Netanyahu’s right-wing coalition bloc to around 48–52 seats. Contributing factors include sustained voter fatigue after the judicial overhaul push, security challenges since October 2023, internal Likud primary disputes over candidate slots, and rising support for opposition alternatives emphasizing different security and governance priorities. These trends have produced a trader consensus reflected in the elevated probability for Likud seat losses.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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