Netanyahu continues to lead Likud and affirm his candidacy for the scheduled October 2026 Knesset elections, with coalition partners advancing legislation to dissolve parliament and enable votes as early as August. Recent polls show his bloc trailing and over half of Israelis favoring his retirement, yet no official statements or party actions indicate withdrawal by the July 31 deadline. Traders price the “No” outcome at 81.5 percent because his repeated public commitments and control of the governing coalition outweigh mounting domestic pressure and security-related criticism. Upcoming Knesset dissolution votes and primary dynamics within Likud remain the main near-term catalysts that could alter this consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNetanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
$18,562 KL.
$18,562 KL.
Jul 31, 2026
$18,562 KL.
$18,562 KL.
Jul 31, 2026
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Netanyahu continues to lead Likud and affirm his candidacy for the scheduled October 2026 Knesset elections, with coalition partners advancing legislation to dissolve parliament and enable votes as early as August. Recent polls show his bloc trailing and over half of Israelis favoring his retirement, yet no official statements or party actions indicate withdrawal by the July 31 deadline. Traders price the “No” outcome at 81.5 percent because his repeated public commitments and control of the governing coalition outweigh mounting domestic pressure and security-related criticism. Upcoming Knesset dissolution votes and primary dynamics within Likud remain the main near-term catalysts that could alter this consensus.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 29, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Khối lượng
$18,562Ngày kết thúc
Jul 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Netanyahu continues to lead Likud and affirm his candidacy for the scheduled October 2026 Knesset elections, with coalition partners advancing legislation to dissolve parliament and enable votes as early as August. Recent polls show his bloc trailing and over half of Israelis favoring his retirement, yet no official statements or party actions indicate withdrawal by the July 31 deadline. Traders price the “No” outcome at 81.5 percent because his repeated public commitments and control of the governing coalition outweigh mounting domestic pressure and security-related criticism. Upcoming Knesset dissolution votes and primary dynamics within Likud remain the main near-term catalysts that could alter this consensus.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$18,562Ngày kết thúc
Jul 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Netanyahu continues to lead Likud and affirm his candidacy for the scheduled October 2026 Knesset elections, with coalition partners advancing legislation to dissolve parliament and enable votes as early as August. Recent polls show his bloc trailing and over half of Israelis favoring his retirement, yet no official statements or party actions indicate withdrawal by the July 31 deadline. Traders price the “No” outcome at 81.5 percent because his repeated public commitments and control of the governing coalition outweigh mounting domestic pressure and security-related criticism. Upcoming Knesset dissolution votes and primary dynamics within Likud remain the main near-term catalysts that could alter this consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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