Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith advanced from Washington's August 4 top-two primary with roughly half the vote, facing Republican Doug Basler in the November 3 general election. The district's consistent Democratic lean, rooted in suburban Seattle voter patterns and Smith's long tenure since 1997, underpins the 94% trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican competitiveness in recent cycles. A national GOP surge, unexpected turnout shifts among key blocs, or late developments around the incumbent could narrow the margin, though structural advantages make an upset improbable absent major disruption.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWA-09 House Election Winner
WA-09 House Election Winner
$29,095 KL.
$29,095 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$29,095 KL.
$29,095 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,539 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$17,556 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith advanced from Washington's August 4 top-two primary with roughly half the vote, facing Republican Doug Basler in the November 3 general election. The district's consistent Democratic lean, rooted in suburban Seattle voter patterns and Smith's long tenure since 1997, underpins the 94% trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican competitiveness in recent cycles. A national GOP surge, unexpected turnout shifts among key blocs, or late developments around the incumbent could narrow the margin, though structural advantages make an upset improbable absent major disruption.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$29,095Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith advanced from Washington's August 4 top-two primary with roughly half the vote, facing Republican Doug Basler in the November 3 general election. The district's consistent Democratic lean, rooted in suburban Seattle voter patterns and Smith's long tenure since 1997, underpins the 94% trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican competitiveness in recent cycles. A national GOP surge, unexpected turnout shifts among key blocs, or late developments around the incumbent could narrow the margin, though structural advantages make an upset improbable absent major disruption.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$29,095Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith advanced from Washington's August 4 top-two primary with roughly half the vote, facing Republican Doug Basler in the November 3 general election. The district's consistent Democratic lean, rooted in suburban Seattle voter patterns and Smith's long tenure since 1997, underpins the 94% trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican competitiveness in recent cycles. A national GOP surge, unexpected turnout shifts among key blocs, or late developments around the incumbent could narrow the margin, though structural advantages make an upset improbable absent major disruption.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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