Incumbent Rep. Judy Chu's fundraising dominance, with over $3.6 million cash on hand as of late March compared to Republican challenger April Verlato's $413 and Democrat Peter Roybal's minimal support, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% for a Democratic Party win in California's 28th Congressional District. The D+14 partisan lean, consistent Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others, and Chu's history of 65%+ general election margins—including 64.9% over Verlato in 2024—bolster this positioning under the top-two primary system. Recent candidate questionnaires ahead of the June 2 primary elicited standard responses without shifting dynamics, while no polls indicate competitiveness; a GOP upset would require exceptional turnout or Democratic disarray in the November 3 general.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-28 House Election Winner
CA-28 House Election Winner
$89,254 KL.
$89,254 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
10%
$89,254 KL.
$89,254 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$41,330 KL.
90%
Republican Party
$47,923 KL.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Judy Chu's fundraising dominance, with over $3.6 million cash on hand as of late March compared to Republican challenger April Verlato's $413 and Democrat Peter Roybal's minimal support, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% for a Democratic Party win in California's 28th Congressional District. The D+14 partisan lean, consistent Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others, and Chu's history of 65%+ general election margins—including 64.9% over Verlato in 2024—bolster this positioning under the top-two primary system. Recent candidate questionnaires ahead of the June 2 primary elicited standard responses without shifting dynamics, while no polls indicate competitiveness; a GOP upset would require exceptional turnout or Democratic disarray in the November 3 general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Khối lượng
$89,254Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Judy Chu's fundraising dominance, with over $3.6 million cash on hand as of late March compared to Republican challenger April Verlato's $413 and Democrat Peter Roybal's minimal support, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% for a Democratic Party win in California's 28th Congressional District. The D+14 partisan lean, consistent Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others, and Chu's history of 65%+ general election margins—including 64.9% over Verlato in 2024—bolster this positioning under the top-two primary system. Recent candidate questionnaires ahead of the June 2 primary elicited standard responses without shifting dynamics, while no polls indicate competitiveness; a GOP upset would require exceptional turnout or Democratic disarray in the November 3 general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$89,254Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Judy Chu's fundraising dominance, with over $3.6 million cash on hand as of late March compared to Republican challenger April Verlato's $413 and Democrat Peter Roybal's minimal support, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% for a Democratic Party win in California's 28th Congressional District. The D+14 partisan lean, consistent Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others, and Chu's history of 65%+ general election margins—including 64.9% over Verlato in 2024—bolster this positioning under the top-two primary system. Recent candidate questionnaires ahead of the June 2 primary elicited standard responses without shifting dynamics, while no polls indicate competitiveness; a GOP upset would require exceptional turnout or Democratic disarray in the November 3 general.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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