The Massachusetts 2nd congressional district's entrenched Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+13 and double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Jim McGovern, seeking re-election ahead of the September 1 primary and November 3 general election, benefits from prior vote shares above 68 percent and the absence of viable Republican challengers in a state where Democrats have held every House seat since 1994. Nonpartisan ratings uniformly classify the race as safe or solid Democratic. A credible GOP contender emerging with strong fundraising or an unusually divisive Democratic primary could narrow the gap, though such developments remain uncommon given the district's established voting patterns and limited recent shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMA-02 House Election Winner
MA-02 House Election Winner
$58,172 KL.
$58,172 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$58,172 KL.
$58,172 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$32,718 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$25,454 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 2nd congressional district's entrenched Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+13 and double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Jim McGovern, seeking re-election ahead of the September 1 primary and November 3 general election, benefits from prior vote shares above 68 percent and the absence of viable Republican challengers in a state where Democrats have held every House seat since 1994. Nonpartisan ratings uniformly classify the race as safe or solid Democratic. A credible GOP contender emerging with strong fundraising or an unusually divisive Democratic primary could narrow the gap, though such developments remain uncommon given the district's established voting patterns and limited recent shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$58,172Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 2nd congressional district's entrenched Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+13 and double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Jim McGovern, seeking re-election ahead of the September 1 primary and November 3 general election, benefits from prior vote shares above 68 percent and the absence of viable Republican challengers in a state where Democrats have held every House seat since 1994. Nonpartisan ratings uniformly classify the race as safe or solid Democratic. A credible GOP contender emerging with strong fundraising or an unusually divisive Democratic primary could narrow the gap, though such developments remain uncommon given the district's established voting patterns and limited recent shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$58,172Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 2nd congressional district's entrenched Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+13 and double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Jim McGovern, seeking re-election ahead of the September 1 primary and November 3 general election, benefits from prior vote shares above 68 percent and the absence of viable Republican challengers in a state where Democrats have held every House seat since 1994. Nonpartisan ratings uniformly classify the race as safe or solid Democratic. A credible GOP contender emerging with strong fundraising or an unusually divisive Democratic primary could narrow the gap, though such developments remain uncommon given the district's established voting patterns and limited recent shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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