Incumbent Republican Beth Van Duyne maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the TX-24 House race, with GOP at 66.5% implied probability reflecting the district's R+3 partisan voting index and her strong 2024 reelection margin exceeding 20 points. Recent Texas GOP primary results on March 3 solidified her nomination without a serious challenger, while Democrat Sam Harvey advanced but faces fundraising disadvantages and underwhelming early polling averages showing a 12-point deficit. No major catalysts in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics, though national midterm trends, swing state turnout patterns, and October debates could narrow the gap before November general election voting concludes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-24 House Election Winner
TX-24 House Election Winner
$26,097 KL.
$26,097 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
67%
Democratic Party
24%
$26,097 KL.
$26,097 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$11,168 KL.
67%
Democratic Party
$14,929 KL.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Beth Van Duyne maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the TX-24 House race, with GOP at 66.5% implied probability reflecting the district's R+3 partisan voting index and her strong 2024 reelection margin exceeding 20 points. Recent Texas GOP primary results on March 3 solidified her nomination without a serious challenger, while Democrat Sam Harvey advanced but faces fundraising disadvantages and underwhelming early polling averages showing a 12-point deficit. No major catalysts in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics, though national midterm trends, swing state turnout patterns, and October debates could narrow the gap before November general election voting concludes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$26,097Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Beth Van Duyne maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the TX-24 House race, with GOP at 66.5% implied probability reflecting the district's R+3 partisan voting index and her strong 2024 reelection margin exceeding 20 points. Recent Texas GOP primary results on March 3 solidified her nomination without a serious challenger, while Democrat Sam Harvey advanced but faces fundraising disadvantages and underwhelming early polling averages showing a 12-point deficit. No major catalysts in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics, though national midterm trends, swing state turnout patterns, and October debates could narrow the gap before November general election voting concludes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$26,097Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Beth Van Duyne maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the TX-24 House race, with GOP at 66.5% implied probability reflecting the district's R+3 partisan voting index and her strong 2024 reelection margin exceeding 20 points. Recent Texas GOP primary results on March 3 solidified her nomination without a serious challenger, while Democrat Sam Harvey advanced but faces fundraising disadvantages and underwhelming early polling averages showing a 12-point deficit. No major catalysts in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics, though national midterm trends, swing state turnout patterns, and October debates could narrow the gap before November general election voting concludes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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