The strong Democratic lean of Illinois’s 3rd congressional district, anchored in Chicago neighborhoods with a consistent partisan advantage exceeding 15 points, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Delia Ramirez secured renomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Angel Oakley in the November general election. The seat’s recent history, including Ramirez’s 67 percent margin in 2024, combined with the absence of competitive Republican challengers or major local controversies, has kept probabilities stable. Forecasters rate the race Safe Democratic. A late scandal, incumbent health event, or unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though structural factors make an upset improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIL-03 House Election Winner
IL-03 House Election Winner
$46,619 KL.
$46,619 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$46,619 KL.
$46,619 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$23,833 KL.
96%
Republican Party
$22,785 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Illinois’s 3rd congressional district, anchored in Chicago neighborhoods with a consistent partisan advantage exceeding 15 points, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Delia Ramirez secured renomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Angel Oakley in the November general election. The seat’s recent history, including Ramirez’s 67 percent margin in 2024, combined with the absence of competitive Republican challengers or major local controversies, has kept probabilities stable. Forecasters rate the race Safe Democratic. A late scandal, incumbent health event, or unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though structural factors make an upset improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$46,619Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Illinois’s 3rd congressional district, anchored in Chicago neighborhoods with a consistent partisan advantage exceeding 15 points, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Delia Ramirez secured renomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Angel Oakley in the November general election. The seat’s recent history, including Ramirez’s 67 percent margin in 2024, combined with the absence of competitive Republican challengers or major local controversies, has kept probabilities stable. Forecasters rate the race Safe Democratic. A late scandal, incumbent health event, or unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though structural factors make an upset improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$46,619Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of Illinois’s 3rd congressional district, anchored in Chicago neighborhoods with a consistent partisan advantage exceeding 15 points, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Delia Ramirez secured renomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Angel Oakley in the November general election. The seat’s recent history, including Ramirez’s 67 percent margin in 2024, combined with the absence of competitive Republican challengers or major local controversies, has kept probabilities stable. Forecasters rate the race Safe Democratic. A late scandal, incumbent health event, or unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though structural factors make an upset improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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