Incumbent Democrat Terri Sewell, who has held Alabama's 7th Congressional District since 2011, dominates trader consensus at 77.5% implied probability for the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district's D+13 Cook PVI and her 64% victory margin in 2024 despite Republican opposition. No Republican candidates have qualified for the August 11 primary as the May 22 filing deadline approaches, underscoring weak GOP recruitment in this Black-majority district comprising rural Black Belt counties. Recent Supreme Court rulings upholding Alabama's 2023 congressional map have stabilized boundaries, eliminating redistricting uncertainty that previously fueled challenges, while Sewell's $3.6 million cash-on-hand bolsters her position amid absent polling data. A credible GOP entrant could narrow odds, but historical base rates favor Democratic retention in safe seats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAL-07 House Election Winner
AL-07 House Election Winner
$26,171 KL.
$26,171 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
78%
Republican Party
19%
$26,171 KL.
$26,171 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,823 KL.
78%
Republican Party
$10,348 KL.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Terri Sewell, who has held Alabama's 7th Congressional District since 2011, dominates trader consensus at 77.5% implied probability for the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district's D+13 Cook PVI and her 64% victory margin in 2024 despite Republican opposition. No Republican candidates have qualified for the August 11 primary as the May 22 filing deadline approaches, underscoring weak GOP recruitment in this Black-majority district comprising rural Black Belt counties. Recent Supreme Court rulings upholding Alabama's 2023 congressional map have stabilized boundaries, eliminating redistricting uncertainty that previously fueled challenges, while Sewell's $3.6 million cash-on-hand bolsters her position amid absent polling data. A credible GOP entrant could narrow odds, but historical base rates favor Democratic retention in safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Khối lượng
$26,171Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Terri Sewell, who has held Alabama's 7th Congressional District since 2011, dominates trader consensus at 77.5% implied probability for the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district's D+13 Cook PVI and her 64% victory margin in 2024 despite Republican opposition. No Republican candidates have qualified for the August 11 primary as the May 22 filing deadline approaches, underscoring weak GOP recruitment in this Black-majority district comprising rural Black Belt counties. Recent Supreme Court rulings upholding Alabama's 2023 congressional map have stabilized boundaries, eliminating redistricting uncertainty that previously fueled challenges, while Sewell's $3.6 million cash-on-hand bolsters her position amid absent polling data. A credible GOP entrant could narrow odds, but historical base rates favor Democratic retention in safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$26,171Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Terri Sewell, who has held Alabama's 7th Congressional District since 2011, dominates trader consensus at 77.5% implied probability for the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district's D+13 Cook PVI and her 64% victory margin in 2024 despite Republican opposition. No Republican candidates have qualified for the August 11 primary as the May 22 filing deadline approaches, underscoring weak GOP recruitment in this Black-majority district comprising rural Black Belt counties. Recent Supreme Court rulings upholding Alabama's 2023 congressional map have stabilized boundaries, eliminating redistricting uncertainty that previously fueled challenges, while Sewell's $3.6 million cash-on-hand bolsters her position amid absent polling data. A credible GOP entrant could narrow odds, but historical base rates favor Democratic retention in safe seats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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